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Burden of tuberculosis in Eastern Africa region from 1990-2021: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease 2021 Study.

作者信息

Yismaw Leltework, Zewotir Temesgen, Muluneh Essey Kebede, Getnet Fentabil, Getinet Kerebih, Getahun Habtamu Abebe, Zewale Taye Abuhay, Tariku Mengistie Kassahun, Asrat Anemaw, Andualem Mulusew, Misganaw Awoke

机构信息

Department of Public Health, College of Health Science, Debre Markos University, Debre Markos, Ethiopia.

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Sep 2;20(9):e0331035. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0331035. eCollection 2025.


DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0331035
PMID:40892766
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12404479/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis (TB), despite being a preventable and curable disease, remains a leading infectious cause of death. In Eastern Africa, TB poses a significant public health challenge. This study examined TB incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from 1990 to 2021. This study aims to provide evidence for policy and healthcare stakeholders in Eastern Africa. METHOD: This analysis is part of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2021 to estimate TB incidence, prevalence, TB-specific mortality, and DALYs. The GBD study applies several analytical tools and uses data from national health surveys, vital registration systems, WHO reports, and hospital records. The results were presented by age group, sex, location, and year, accounting for 95% uncertainty intervals. RESULT: A significant decline was observed in TB burden across East African countries between 1990 and 2021. The age standardized TB incidence rate dropped by 53% (95% UI: 50.7%, 55.1%), from 518.8 per 100,000 in 1990-244 in 2021, while TB prevalence dropped by 29.1% (95% UI: 26.3%, 31.7%), from 38,577.6-27,366.1 per 100,000. TB-related deaths fell by 64.6% (95% UI: 55.0%, 71.4%), and TB related DALYs declined by 68.2% (95% UI: 60.3%, 73.6%). Despite these improvements, men consistently experienced higher TB incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs compared to women. Ethiopia showed the highest reductions in terms of TB-related mortality and DALYs compared to countries in the region, with annual reduction rates of 6.0% and 6.6%, respectively. Conversely, Somalia had the highest TB burden in 2021 in terms of incidence, mortality, and DALYs. Mauritius and Seychelles maintained the lowest TB burden, attributed to strong health systems and socio-economic conditions. CONCLUSION: A significant decline was observed in TB burden across eastern African countries between 1990 and 2021. However, TB rates remain significantly higher than global and African averages. Therefore, continued investment in health systems and tailored interventions is essential to alleviate the disease burdens, specifically in high-prevalence areas.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/26f8/12404479/98a863873ea0/pone.0331035.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/26f8/12404479/98a863873ea0/pone.0331035.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/26f8/12404479/98a863873ea0/pone.0331035.g001.jpg

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Impact of US funding cuts and stop work orders on TB services and research in South Africa.

IJTLD Open. 2025-4-9

[2]
The burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors by state in the USA, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Lancet. 2024-12-7

[3]
The Global Burden of Disease Study tuberculosis estimates from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation.

Int J Epidemiol. 2024-8-14

[4]
Increased tuberculosis case detection in Tanzanian children and adults using African giant pouched rats.

BMC Infect Dis. 2024-4-15

[5]
The impact of conflict on infectious disease: a systematic literature review.

Confl Health. 2024-4-8

[6]
Global burden of 288 causes of death and life expectancy decomposition in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Lancet. 2024-5-18

[7]
Impacts of armed conflicts on tuberculosis burden and treatment outcomes: a systematic review.

BMJ Open. 2024-3-7

[8]
Digital Health Interventions to Enhance Tuberculosis Treatment Adherence: Scoping Review.

JMIR Mhealth Uhealth. 2023-12-4

[9]
Health system productivity in sub-Saharan Africa: tuberculosis control in high burden countries.

Cost Eff Resour Alloc. 2023-11-25

[10]
The second United Nations high-level meeting on the fight to end TB: action is needed to turn the tide by 2030.

Public Health Action. 2023-9-21

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