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能源税、能源创新与绿色可持续性:来自中国视角的实证分析。

Energy taxes, energy innovation, and green sustainability: empirical analysis from a China perspective.

机构信息

School of Management, China University of Mining & Technology (Beijing), Beijing, 100083, China.

School of Management, Hunan Institute of Engineering, Xiangtan, 411104, Hunan, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Jul;30(34):82760-82769. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-27927-w. Epub 2023 Jun 19.

Abstract

The idea that energy taxes and innovation may contribute to lowering greenhouse gas emissions and fostering the development of a more sustainable energy future is gaining popularity. Therefore, the study's main goal is to explore the asymmetric impact of energy taxes and innovation on CO2 emissions in China by employing linear and nonlinear ARDL econometric methods. The outcomes of the linear model demonstrate that long-term increases in energy taxes, energy technological innovation, and financial development cause CO2 emissions to reduce, while increases in economic development cause CO2 emissions to climb. Similarly, energy taxes and energy technological innovation cause CO2 emissions to fall in the short run, while financial development promotes CO2 emissions. On the other hand, in the nonlinear model, the positive energy changes, positive energy innovation changes, financial development, and human capital help reduce the long-run CO2 emissions, and economic development increase the CO2 emissions. In the short run, the positive energy and innovation changes are negatively and significantly connected to CO2 emissions, while financial development is positively linked to CO2 emissions. The negative energy innovation changes are insignificant in both the short and long run. Therefore, Chinese policymakers should try to promote energy taxes and innovations as tools to achieve green sustainability.

摘要

认为能源税和创新可能有助于降低温室气体排放并促进更可持续的能源未来的发展的观点越来越受到关注。因此,本研究的主要目的是通过使用线性和非线性 ARDL 计量经济学方法,探讨能源税和创新对中国二氧化碳排放的不对称影响。线性模型的结果表明,长期增加能源税、能源技术创新和金融发展会导致二氧化碳排放减少,而经济发展则会导致二氧化碳排放增加。同样,能源税和能源技术创新会导致二氧化碳排放短期减少,而金融发展则会促进二氧化碳排放。另一方面,在非线性模型中,积极的能源变化、积极的能源创新变化、金融发展和人力资本有助于减少长期二氧化碳排放,而经济发展则会增加二氧化碳排放。在短期内,积极的能源和创新变化与二氧化碳排放呈负相关且显著相关,而金融发展与二氧化碳排放呈正相关。能源创新变化在短期和长期内均不显著。因此,中国政策制定者应尝试将能源税和创新作为实现绿色可持续性的工具。

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