School of Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering, Zhengzhou University, High-Tech District, No. 100 Science Road, ZhengzhouHenan Province, 450001, China.
Yellow River Institute for Ecological Protection & Regional Coordinated Development, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001, China.
Environ Monit Assess. 2023 Jun 23;195(7):873. doi: 10.1007/s10661-023-11479-0.
In order to evaluate the impact of the Longyangxia Reservoir construction on the relationship between runoff and sediment load (RRSL) in the upper reaches of the Yellow River, the runoff and sediment load monitoring data are used to identify variation point by sliding correlation coefficient method. Then with Copula function, the various countering situations of runoff and sediment load before and after variation are proposed to innovatively reveal their changing relations. The results demonstrate that (1) the reservoir construction exerts a great impact on the RRSL in the upper reaches of the Yellow River with the occurring variation point in 1987. The correlation of runoff and sediment load is presented better before variation but tends to worse decrease after variation. (2) Either before or after variation, runoff follows the generalized extreme value distribution, while sediment load before variation obeys the normal distribution, but the lognormal distribution after variation. Meanwhile, Frank Copula function accurately simulates the RRSL before variation, whereas Clayton Copula function is selected after variation. (3) The probability of synchronous rich and poor runoff and sediment load is higher before variation. After variation, the RRSL decreases significantly; their synchronous probability decreases by 45.67%. Meanwhile, the asynchronous probability of their extreme events evidently increases. The joint recurrence and co-recurrence intervals before variation are smaller than those after variation, along with the decreasing of their volume peak. This study provides new knowledge of runoff and sediment load influenced by reservoir construction, and also offers guidance for flood control and sediment load-discharge schemes of reservoir.
为了评估龙羊峡水库建设对黄河上游径流量与输沙量(RRSL)关系的影响,利用径流量和输沙量监测数据,采用滑动相关系数法识别变异点。然后,利用 Copula 函数,提出了变化前后径流量和输沙量的各种反事实情况,创新性地揭示了它们的变化关系。结果表明:(1)水库建设对黄河上游 RRSL 有很大影响,1987 年发生了变异点。变化前,径流量与输沙量的相关性较好,但变化后呈下降趋势。(2)无论在变化前后,径流量都服从广义极值分布,而输沙量在变化前服从正态分布,变化后服从对数正态分布。同时,Frank Copula 函数能够准确模拟变化前的 RRSL,而变化后的则选择 Clayton Copula 函数。(3)变化前,丰枯水年径流量和输沙量同步出现的概率较高。变化后,RRSL 显著减少,同步概率降低了 45.67%。同时,极端事件的异步概率明显增加。变化前 RRSL 的联合重现期和共同重现期间隔较小,峰值体积也较小。本研究为水库建设对径流量和输沙量的影响提供了新的认识,为水库防洪和输沙量调度方案提供了指导。