Kim Hye-Ryeom, Moon Mincheol, Yun Junghee, Ha Kyung-Ja
BK21 School of Earth and Environmental Systems, Pusan National University, Busan, Republic of Korea.
Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Pusan National University, Busan, Republic of Korea.
Asia Pac J Atmos Sci. 2023 Apr 6:1-14. doi: 10.1007/s13143-023-00323-7.
Climate change has altered the frequency, intensity, and timing of mean and extreme precipitation. Extreme precipitation has caused tremendous socio-economic losses, and severe impacts on human life, livelihood, and ecosystems. In recent years, heavy rainfall events occurred during the boreal summer (June-to-August) frequently and sporadically over South Korea. Given that its severity, a call for an urgent investigation of summer extreme rainfall is needed. Although many previous studies have addressed daily extreme precipitation, hourly extreme rainfall still needs to be thoroughly investigated. Therefore, in this study, we investigated the trends, spatio-temporal variability, and long-term variations in mean and extreme precipitation over South Korea during the boreal summertime using daily and hourly observational data through various analysis methods. During the past 50 years (1973-2022), there has been a notable escalation in maximum hourly precipitation, although the boreal summer mean precipitation has increased only marginally. Regionally, an increase in mean and extreme rainfall occurred in the northern part of the central region and the southern coast of the Korean peninsula. Moreover, the increase in intensity and frequency of extreme precipitation as well as in dry day have contributed more to the total summer precipitation in recent years. Our findings provide scientific insights into the progression of extreme summer precipitation events in South Korea.
The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13143-023-00323-7.
气候变化已经改变了平均降水量和极端降水量的频率、强度和时间。极端降水已造成巨大的社会经济损失,并对人类生活、生计和生态系统产生严重影响。近年来,韩国在北半球夏季(6月至8月)频繁且零星地出现暴雨事件。鉴于其严重性,迫切需要对夏季极端降雨进行调查。尽管之前许多研究都涉及每日极端降水,但小时极端降雨仍需深入研究。因此,在本研究中,我们通过各种分析方法,利用每日和每小时的观测数据,调查了北半球夏季韩国平均降水量和极端降水量的趋势、时空变化以及长期变化。在过去50年(1973 - 2022年)里,最大小时降水量显著增加,尽管北半球夏季平均降水量仅略有增加。在区域上,韩国半岛中部北部和南部海岸的平均降水量和极端降水量有所增加。此外,近年来极端降水强度和频率的增加以及干旱天数的增加对夏季总降水量的贡献更大。我们的研究结果为韩国夏季极端降水事件的发展提供了科学见解。
在线版本包含可在10.1007/s13143-023-00323-7获取的补充材料。