Liu Yaohui, Liu Wenyi, Zhang Xinyu, Lin Yu, Zheng Guoqiang, Zhao Zhan, Cheng Hao, Gross Lutz, Li Xiaoli, Wei Benyong, Su Fei
School of Surveying and Geo-Informatics, Shandong Jianzhu University, Jinan 250101, China.
College of Geodesy and Geomatics, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590, China.
Urban Clim. 2023 Jun 21:101591. doi: 10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101591.
The outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic has resulted in large threats and damage to society and the economy. In this study, we evaluate and verify the comprehensive resilience and spatiotemporal impact of the COVID-19 epidemic from January to June 2022 in mainland China based on multisource data. First, we adopt a combination of the mandatory determination method and the coefficient of variation method to determine the weight of the urban resilience assessment index. Furthermore, Beijing, Shanghai, and Tianjin were selected to verify the feasibility and accuracy of the resilience assessment results based on the nighttime light data. Finally, the epidemic situation was dynamically monitored and verified with population migration data. The results show that urban comprehensive resilience of mainland China is shown in the distribution pattern of higher resilience in the middle east and south and lower resilience in the northwest and northeast. Moreover, the average light intensity index is inversely proportional to the number of newly confirmed and treated cases of COVID-19 in the local area. This study provides a scientific reference to improve the comprehensive resilience of cities to achieve the goals of sustainable development (SDGs 11): make cities and human settlements resilient and sustainable.
2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)疫情的爆发给社会和经济带来了巨大威胁和损害。在本研究中,我们基于多源数据评估并验证了2022年1月至6月中国大陆COVID-19疫情的综合恢复力及时空影响。首先,我们采用强制确定法和变异系数法相结合的方式来确定城市恢复力评估指标的权重。此外,选取北京、上海和天津,基于夜间灯光数据验证恢复力评估结果的可行性和准确性。最后,利用人口迁移数据对疫情态势进行动态监测和验证。结果表明,中国大陆城市综合恢复力呈现中东和南部恢复力较高、西北和东北部恢复力较低的分布格局。此外,平均灯光强度指数与当地COVID-19新增确诊和治愈病例数成反比。本研究为提高城市综合恢复力以实现可持续发展目标(可持续发展目标11:使城市和人类住区具有恢复力和可持续性)提供了科学参考。