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一种基于回顾性数据和ADOS-2评分的机器学习方法用于诊断自闭症谱系障碍和多系统发育障碍。

A Machine Learning Approach to the Diagnosis of Autism Spectrum Disorder and Multi-Systemic Developmental Disorder Based on Retrospective Data and ADOS-2 Score.

作者信息

Briguglio Marilena, Turriziani Laura, Currò Arianna, Gagliano Antonella, Di Rosa Gabriella, Caccamo Daniela, Tonacci Alessandro, Gangemi Sebastiano

机构信息

Unit of Child Neurology and Psychiatry, Department of Human Pathology of the Adult and Developmental Age "Gaetano Barresi", Polyclinic Hospital University, 98125 Messina, Italy.

Department of Biomedical Sciences, Dental Sciences and Morpho-Functional Imaging, Polyclinic Hospital University, 98125 Messina, Italy.

出版信息

Brain Sci. 2023 May 31;13(6):883. doi: 10.3390/brainsci13060883.

Abstract

Early and accurate diagnosis of autism spectrum disorders (ASD) and tailored therapeutic interventions can improve prognosis. ADOS-2 is a standardized test for ASD diagnosis. However, owing to ASD heterogeneity, the presence of false positives remains a challenge for clinicians. In this study, retrospective data from patients with ASD and multi-systemic developmental disorder (MSDD), a term used to describe children under the age of 3 with impaired communication but with strong emotional attachments, were tested by machine learning (ML) models to assess the best predictors of disease development as well as the items that best describe these two autism spectrum disorder presentations. Maternal and infant data as well as ADOS-2 score were included in different ML testing models. Depending on the outcome to be estimated, a best-performing model was selected. RIDGE regression model showed that the best predictors for ADOS social affect score were gut disturbances, EEG retrievals, and sleep problems. Linear Regression Model showed that term pregnancy, psychomotor development status, and gut disturbances were predicting at best for the ADOS Repetitive and Restricted Behavior score. The LASSO regression model showed that EEG retrievals, sleep disturbances, age at diagnosis, term pregnancy, weight at birth, gut disturbances, and neurological findings were the best predictors for the overall ADOS score. The CART classification and regression model showed that age at diagnosis and weight at birth best discriminate between ASD and MSDD.

摘要

自闭症谱系障碍(ASD)的早期准确诊断以及量身定制的治疗干预措施可以改善预后。ADOS-2是一种用于ASD诊断的标准化测试。然而,由于ASD的异质性,假阳性的存在对临床医生来说仍然是一个挑战。在本研究中,来自ASD患者和多系统发育障碍(MSDD,用于描述3岁以下有沟通障碍但有强烈情感依恋的儿童)患者的回顾性数据通过机器学习(ML)模型进行测试,以评估疾病发展的最佳预测因素以及最能描述这两种自闭症谱系障碍表现的项目。母婴数据以及ADOS-2评分被纳入不同的ML测试模型中。根据要估计的结果,选择表现最佳的模型。岭回归模型显示,ADOS社交情感评分的最佳预测因素是肠道紊乱、脑电图异常和睡眠问题。线性回归模型显示,足月妊娠、精神运动发育状况和肠道紊乱对ADOS重复和受限行为评分的预测效果最佳。套索回归模型显示,脑电图异常、睡眠障碍、诊断年龄、足月妊娠、出生体重、肠道紊乱和神经学检查结果是ADOS总分的最佳预测因素。分类与回归树(CART)模型显示,诊断年龄和出生体重最能区分ASD和MSDD。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a528/10295931/065cf2862d8a/brainsci-13-00883-g001.jpg

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