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乌克兰 COVID-19 冠状病毒感染疫情分析。

Analysis of the epidemic situation of the COVID-19 coronavirus infection in Ukraine.

机构信息

Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology, Disinfectology and Occupational Diseases of Kharkiv National Medical University, Kharkiv, Ukraine.

Department of Infectious Diseases with Epidemiology, Sumy State University, Sumy, Ukraine.

出版信息

Folia Med Cracov. 2023 Apr 30;63(1):109-120. doi: 10.24425/fmc.2023.145434.

Abstract

The epidemic process of COVID-19 in the world developed rapidly. The situation with morbidity, despite the establishment of quarantine, the introduction of restrictive anti-epidemic measures, and vaccination, remains difficult. The results of research on the influence of meteorological factors on the dynamics of the incidence of COVID-19, hospitalization, and mortality are ambiguous and contradictory. The purpose of this study is to analyze the indicators of morbidity, hospitalization, and mortality from COVID-19 in Ukraine, and to establish the level of influence of meteorological factors on them. A high variation in morbidity, hospitalization, and mortality rates was observed in Ukraine, in 2020-2021. A total of 3 waves of disease growth were established. The curve of hospitalization indicators of patients with COVID-19 had a correlation dependence on the incidence curve r = 0.766 (р <0.05), the maximum rates of hospitalization and mortality were registered in September-December 2021. A direct strong correlation was established between the frequency of registration of cases of COVID-19 and mortality - r = 0.899 (р <0.05). Most cases of COVID-19 were registered in the cold season, the least in June-August. Inverse correlations of moderate strength were established between the indicators of morbidity, hospitalization, and mortality and air temperature levels (-0.370< r <-0.461). Direct correlations of average strength (0.538< r <0.632) were established with the levels of relative air humidity.

摘要

COVID-19 在世界范围内的流行过程迅速发展。尽管采取了隔离、引入限制防疫措施和接种疫苗等措施,但发病率的情况仍然很困难。气象因素对 COVID-19 发病率、住院和死亡率动态影响的研究结果存在矛盾和不一致。本研究的目的是分析乌克兰 COVID-19 发病率、住院和死亡率的指标,并确定气象因素对它们的影响程度。在 2020-2021 年期间,乌克兰的发病率、住院率和死亡率变化很大。共确定了 3 波疾病增长。COVID-19 患者住院指标的曲线与发病率曲线呈相关依赖关系 r = 0.766 (р <0.05),住院和死亡率的最高率登记在 2021 年 9 月至 12 月。COVID-19 病例的登记频率与死亡率之间建立了直接的强相关性 - r = 0.899 (р <0.05)。大多数 COVID-19 病例发生在寒冷季节,6 月至 8 月最少。发病率、住院率和死亡率的指标与气温水平呈负相关(-0.370< r <-0.461)。中度强度的直接相关性(0.538< r <0.632)与相对空气湿度水平建立。

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