Serum creatinine/cystatin C ratio as a prognostic indicator for patients with colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to explore the relationship between creatinine/cystatin C ratio and progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients undergoing surgical treatment.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 975 CRC patients who underwent surgical resection from January 2012 to 2015. Restricted three-sample curve to display the non-linear relationship between PFS/OS and creatinine-cystatin C ratio. Cox regression model and Kaplan-Meier method were used to evaluate the effect of the creatinine-cystatin C ratio on the survival of CRC patients. Prognostic variables with p-value ≤0.05 in multivariate analysis were used to construct prognostic nomograms. The receiver operator characteristic curve was used to compare the efficacy of prognostic nomograms and the traditional pathological stage.

RESULTS

There was a negative linear relationship between creatinine/cystatin C ratio and adverse PFS in CRC patients. Patients with low creatinine/cystatin C ratio had significantly lower PFS/OS than those with high creatinine/cystatin C ratio (PFS, 50.8% vs. 63.9%, p = 0.002; OS, 52.5% vs. 68.9%, p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that low creatinine/cystatin C ratio was an independent risk factor for PFS (HR=1.286, 95%CI = 1.007-1.642, p=0.044) and OS (HR=1.410, 95%CI=1.087-1.829, p=0.010) of CRC patients. The creatinine/cystatin C ratio-based prognostic nomograms have good predictive performance, with a concordance index above 0.7, which can predict the 1-5-year prognosis.

CONCLUSION

Creatinine/cystatin C ratio may be an effective prognostic marker for predicting PFS and OS in CRC patients, aid in pathological staging, and along with tumour markers help in-depth prognostic stratification in CRC patients.