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耦合 SWAT 和 DPSIR 模型进行地中海流域地下水管理。

Coupling SWAT and DPSIR models for groundwater management in Mediterranean catchments.

机构信息

Campania University "Luigi Vanvitelli", Department of Environmental, Biological and Pharmaceutical Sciences and Technologies, Via Vivaldi 43, 81100, Caserta, Italy; Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Department of Geology, Laboratory of Engineering Geology & Hydrogeology, 54124, Thessaloniki, Greece.

Campania University "Luigi Vanvitelli", Department of Environmental, Biological and Pharmaceutical Sciences and Technologies, Via Vivaldi 43, 81100, Caserta, Italy.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2023 Oct 15;344:118543. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118543. Epub 2023 Jul 4.

DOI:10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118543
PMID:37413730
Abstract

Groundwater is an essential natural resource and has a significant role in human and environmental health as well as in the economy. Management of subsurface storage remains an important option to meet the combined demands of humans and ecosystems. The increasing need to find multi-purpose solutions to address water scarcity is a global challenge. Thus, the interactions leading to surface runoff and groundwater recharge have received particular attention over the last decades. Additionally, new methods are developed to incorporate the spatial-temporal variation of recharge in groundwater modeling. In this study, groundwater recharge was spatiotemporally quantified using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) in the Upper Volturno-Calore hydrological basin in Italy and the results were compared with other two basins in Greece (Anthemountas and Mouriki). SWAT model was applied in actual and future projections (2022-2040) using the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 emissions scenario to evaluate changes in precipitation and assess the future hydrologic conditions, along with, the Driving Force-Pressure-State-Impact-Response (DPSIR) framework that was applied in all the basins as a low-cost analysis of integrated physical, social, natural, and economic factors. According to the results, no significant variations in runoff are predicted in the Upper Volturno-Calore basin for the period 2020-2040 while the potential evapotranspiration percentage varies from 50.1% to 74.3% and infiltration around 5%. The limited primary data constitutes the main pressure in all sites and exaggerates the uncertainty of future projections.

摘要

地下水是一种重要的自然资源,对人类和环境健康以及经济都有着重要的作用。管理地下储水仍然是满足人类和生态系统综合需求的重要选择。寻找多用途解决方案以应对水资源短缺是全球面临的一个挑战。因此,过去几十年来,地表水和地下水补给的相互作用一直受到特别关注。此外,还开发了新的方法来将补给的时空变化纳入地下水建模中。在本研究中,使用土壤和水评估工具(SWAT)在意大利上沃尔图诺-卡洛雷流域对地下水补给进行了时空量化,并将结果与希腊的另外两个流域(Anthemountas 和 Mouriki)进行了比较。SWAT 模型应用于实际和未来预测(2022-2040 年),使用代表性浓度路径(RCP)4.5 排放情景评估降水变化并评估未来水文条件,同时,在所有流域应用驱动力-压力-状态-影响-响应(DPSIR)框架作为综合物理、社会、自然和经济因素的低成本分析。根据结果,上沃尔图诺-卡洛雷流域在 2020-2040 年期间预计径流没有显著变化,而潜在蒸散百分比变化范围为 50.1%至 74.3%,渗透约为 5%。所有站点的主要压力是有限的主要数据,夸大了未来预测的不确定性。

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