ESSCA School of Management, 1 Rue Lakanal, 49000, Angers, France.
EDC Paris Business School, Paris, France.
J Environ Manage. 2023 Oct 15;344:118561. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118561. Epub 2023 Jul 5.
This paper investigates whether geopolitical conflicts play a critical role in stimulating countries to shift toward clean energy solutions. We use the panel regime-switching models, which allow us to capture the nonlinear dynamics of the energy transition. Our results for a panel of developed and emerging countries reveal that the geopolitical context does not impact the renewable-income nexus; however, we find that adverse geopolitical events would impact the diffusion of alternative energy sources depending on the level of economic development. Rising geopolitical conflicts would encourage high-income nations to switch toward low-carbon energy sources. Considering the increasing number of regional conflicts, less developed countries must urgently develop their economies away from traditional energy sources and enhance the contribution of the renewable sector.
本文研究地缘政治冲突是否在促使各国转向清洁能源解决方案方面发挥关键作用。我们使用面板体制转换模型，该模型使我们能够捕捉到能源转型的非线性动态。我们对发达国家和新兴国家的面板数据的研究结果表明，地缘政治背景不会影响可再生能源收入的关系；然而，我们发现，不利的地缘政治事件会根据经济发展水平影响替代能源的扩散。地缘政治冲突加剧将鼓励高收入国家转向低碳能源。考虑到区域冲突的数量不断增加，欠发达国家必须紧急实现经济发展，摆脱传统能源，并提高可再生能源部门的贡献。
