Matallah Siham, Matallah Amal, Hilmi Nathalie
Economics, University of Oran 2, Oran, Algeria.
Economics, University of Ain Temouchent, Ain Temouchent, Algeria.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Oct;30(48):105293-105307. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-29823-9. Epub 2023 Sep 15.
This paper investigates the impact of geopolitical risks on renewable energy generation in MENAT oil-importing countries, namely, Egypt, Tunisia, and Turkey over the period 1990-2020 using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. The main findings emphasize that geopolitical risks play a crucial role in inducing renewable energy development in MENAT oil-importing countries in the short and long run. Financial development appears to positively and significantly affect renewable energy generation in the three countries. Furthermore, the speeds of adjustment towards the long-run equilibrium are 36.78%, 66.03%, and 17.81% annually in Egypt, Tunisia, and Turkey, respectively. In today's volatile and turbulent world, dramatically rising geopolitical risks make the transition to renewable energy an inevitable reality. Consequently, it is incumbent upon policymakers and relevant authorities in MENAT oil-importing countries to preemptively redirect their efforts and strategies to conform to the demands of the inevitable transition to renewable energy sources and boost energy self-reliance.
本文运用自回归分布滞后（ARDL）模型，研究了1990 - 2020年期间地缘政治风险对中东和北非地区石油进口国（即埃及、突尼斯和土耳其）可再生能源发电的影响。主要研究结果强调，地缘政治风险在短期和长期内对中东和北非地区石油进口国的可再生能源发展起着至关重要的作用。金融发展似乎对这三个国家的可再生能源发电产生了积极且显著的影响。此外，埃及、突尼斯和土耳其每年向长期均衡调整的速度分别为36.78%、66.03%和17.81%。在当今动荡不安的世界中，地缘政治风险急剧上升，使得向可再生能源转型成为不可避免的现实。因此，中东和北非地区石油进口国的政策制定者和相关当局有责任预先调整其努力方向和战略，以顺应向可再生能源不可避免的转型需求，并增强能源自给自足能力。
