Department of City and Regional Planning, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, United States.
Department of Statistics and Data Science, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, United States.
Accid Anal Prev. 2023 Oct;191:107198. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2023.107198. Epub 2023 Jul 6.
The highest lifetime risk for a motor vehicle crash is immediately after the point of licensure, with teen drivers most at risk. Comprehensive teen driver licensing policies that require completion of driver education and behind-the-wheel training along with Graduated Driver Licensing (GDL) are associated with lower young driver crash rates early in licensure. We hypothesize that lack of financial resources and travel time to driving schools reduce the likelihood for teens to complete driver training and gain a young driver's license before age 18. We utilize licensing data from the Ohio Bureau of Motor Vehicles on over 35,000 applicants between 15.5 and 25 years old collected between 2017 and 2019. This dataset of driving schools is maintained by the Ohio Department of Public Safety and is linked with Census tract-level socioeconomic data from the U.S. Census. Using logit models, we estimate the completion of driver training and license obtainment among young drivers in the Columbus, Ohio metro area. We find that young drivers in lower-income Census tracts have a lower likelihood to complete driver training and get licensed before age 18. As travel time to driving schools increases, teens in wealthier Census tracts are more likely to forgo driver training and licensure than teens in lower-income Census tracts. For jurisdictions aspiring to improve safe driving for young drivers, our findings help shape recommendations on policies to enhance access to driver training and licensure especially among teens living in lower-income Census tracts.
一生中发生机动车事故的最高风险出现在获得驾照之后,青少年司机的风险最高。全面的青少年司机驾照政策要求完成驾驶教育和路考培训,以及分级驾照(GDL),这与在获得驾照的早期,年轻司机的事故率较低有关。我们假设缺乏经济资源和前往驾校的时间会降低青少年在 18 岁之前完成驾驶培训并获得年轻司机驾照的可能性。我们利用俄亥俄州机动车辆局在 2017 年至 2019 年期间收集的 35000 多名 15.5 至 25 岁之间的申请人的驾照数据。这个驾校数据集由俄亥俄州公共安全部维护,并与美国人口普查的普查区层面社会经济数据相关联。使用逻辑回归模型,我们估计了俄亥俄州哥伦布都会区年轻司机完成驾驶培训和获得驾照的情况。我们发现,收入较低的普查区的年轻司机完成驾驶培训并在 18 岁之前获得驾照的可能性较低。随着前往驾校的旅行时间增加,较富裕的普查区的青少年比收入较低的普查区的青少年更有可能放弃驾驶培训和驾照。对于希望改善年轻司机安全驾驶的司法管辖区,我们的研究结果有助于为加强驾驶培训和驾照获取的政策提供建议,特别是针对居住在收入较低的普查区的青少年。