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高龄重新进入劳动力市场是否能预防认知能力下降?一种匹配的差分法。

Does (re-)entering the labour market at advanced ages protect against cognitive decline? A matching difference-in-differences approach.

机构信息

Department of Social Sciences, University of Luxembourg, Institute for Research on Socio-Economic Inequality, Esch-sur-Alzette, Luxembourg

Department of Social Medicine, Ohio University, Athens, Ohio, USA.

出版信息

J Epidemiol Community Health. 2023 Oct;77(10):663-669. doi: 10.1136/jech-2022-220197. Epub 2023 Jul 17.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

While prolonged labour market participation becomes increasingly important in ageing societies, evidence on the impacts of entering or exiting work beyond age 65 on cognitive functioning is scarce.

METHODS

We use data from two large population-representative data sets from South Korea and the USA to investigate and compare the effects of the labour market (re-)entry and exit by matching employment and other confounder trajectories prior to the exposure. We chose the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging (N=1872, 2006-2020) for its exceptionally active labour participation in later life and the Health and Retirement Study (N=4070, 2006-2020) for its growing inequality among US older adults in labour participation. We use the matching difference-in-differences (DID) method, which allows us to make causal claims by reducing biases through matching.

RESULTS

We find general positive effects of entering the labour market in South Korea (DID estimate: 0.653, 95% CI 0.167 to 1.133), while in the USA such benefit is not salient (DID estimate: 0.049, 95% CI -0.262 to 0.431). Exiting the late-life labour market leads to cognitive decline in both South Korea (DID estimate: -0.438, 95% CI -0.770 to -0.088) and the USA (DID estimate: -0.432, 95% CI -0.698 to -0.165).

CONCLUSIONS

Findings suggest that Korean participants cognitively benefited from late-life labour market participation, while US participants did not. Differences in participant characteristics and reasons for labour market participation may have led to the differential findings. We found the negative effects of exiting the late-life labour force in both countries.

摘要

背景

随着老龄化社会中劳动力市场参与时间的延长变得越来越重要,关于 65 岁以上进入或退出工作对认知功能的影响的证据却很少。

方法

我们使用来自韩国和美国的两个大型代表性人群数据来调查和比较在暴露之前通过匹配就业和其他混杂轨迹进入或退出劳动力市场的影响。我们选择韩国老龄化纵向研究(N=1872,2006-2020 年),因为它在晚年有非常活跃的劳动力参与度,而健康与退休研究(N=4070,2006-2020 年),因为它在美国老年人群体中劳动力参与的不平等程度越来越大。我们使用匹配的差分法(DID),通过匹配减少偏差来进行因果推断。

结果

我们发现韩国进入劳动力市场具有普遍的积极影响(DID 估计值:0.653,95%置信区间 0.167 至 1.133),而在美国,这种好处并不明显(DID 估计值:0.049,95%置信区间 -0.262 至 0.431)。退出老年劳动力市场会导致韩国(DID 估计值:-0.438,95%置信区间 -0.770 至 -0.088)和美国(DID 估计值:-0.432,95%置信区间 -0.698 至 -0.165)认知能力下降。

结论

研究结果表明,韩国参与者从晚年劳动力市场参与中获得了认知上的益处,而美国参与者则没有。参与者特征和劳动力市场参与的原因的差异可能导致了不同的结果。我们发现两国退出老年劳动力队伍的负面影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/896f/10511963/b72528013b3d/jech-2022-220197f01.jpg

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