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应用新型人工蜂群优化 ANN 和数据预处理技术进行月均流量估计。

Application of novel artificial bee colony optimized ANN and data preprocessing techniques for monthly streamflow estimation.

机构信息

Erzincan Binali Yıldırım University, Faculty of Engineering and Architecture, Department of Civil Engineering, Erzincan, Türkiye.

Abdelhafid Boussouf University Center, Institute of Sciences and Technology, Department of Civil Engineering and Hydraulic, Mila, Algeria.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Aug;30(38):89705-89725. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-28678-4. Epub 2023 Jul 17.

Abstract

Streamflow estimation is important in hydrology, especially in drought and flood-prone areas. Accurate estimation of streamflow values is crucial for the sustainable management of water resources, the development of early warning systems for disasters, and for various applications such as irrigation, hydropower production, dam sizing, and siltation management. This study developed the ANN algorithm by optimizing with an artificial bee colony (ABC). Then, the ABC-ANN hybrid model, which was established, was combined with different signal decomposition techniques to evaluate its performance in streamflow estimation in the East Black Sea Region, Türkiye. For this purpose, the lagged streamflow values were divided into subcomponents using the local mean decomposition (LMD) with the empirical envelope and complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) signal decomposition techniques presented to the ABC-ANN algorithm. Thus, the success of the novel hybrid LMD-ABC-ANN and CEEMDAN-ABC-ANN approaches in streamflow prediction was evaluated. The outputs are reliable strategies and resources for water resource planners and policymakers.

摘要

流量估计在水文学中很重要,特别是在干旱和洪水多发地区。准确估计流量值对于水资源的可持续管理、灾害预警系统的开发以及灌溉、水力发电生产、大坝规模和泥沙管理等各种应用都至关重要。本研究通过人工蜂群(ABC)进行优化开发了 ANN 算法。然后,将建立的 ABC-ANN 混合模型与不同的信号分解技术相结合,评估其在土耳其黑海东部地区流量估计中的性能。为此,使用局部均值分解(LMD)和经验包络以及完全集合经验模态分解与自适应噪声(CEEMDAN)信号分解技术将滞后的流量值分为子分量,并将其呈现给 ABC-ANN 算法。因此,评估了新的混合 LMD-ABC-ANN 和 CEEMDAN-ABC-ANN 方法在流量预测中的成功。这些结果为水资源规划者和决策者提供了可靠的策略和资源。

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