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评估中国城市可持续发展对气候变化的适应能力。

Assessing resilience of sustainability to climate change in China's cities.

作者信息

Zhao Rui, Li Xia, Wang Ying, Xu Zhenci, Xiong Meiyu, Jia Qian, Li Fengting

机构信息

State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resources Reuse, College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai 200000, China.

Department of Geography, The University of Hong Kong, 999077, Hong Kong, China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2023 Nov 10;898:165568. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.165568. Epub 2023 Jul 17.

Abstract

Achieving sustainability and coping with climate change are the greatest challenges to human survival and harmonious human-nature relationship. However, there is a lack of research on quantifying the resilience of sustainability to climate change over space and time. Here, a quantification method was developed to evaluate resilient performance of sustainability (includes economic, social, and environmental sub-resilient performance and resilient performance index) to climate change, and performed the first demonstration in China's 280 cities. It was found that resilient performance index of China's sustainability to climate change improved from 2005 to 2017, especially in Southwest China, but 6.8 % of cities showed a decreasing trend. With the improvement of the resilient performance index, the synergy degree among economic, social, and environmental sub-resilient performance scores increased. Economic development and sustainability improvement related to a higher but more disparity of the resilient performance index. This study encourages researchers and policymakers worldwide to focus on resilience of sustainability to climate change to help achieve sustained development and prosperity under climate change.

摘要

实现可持续发展和应对气候变化是人类生存及人与自然和谐关系面临的最大挑战。然而,目前缺乏关于在时空维度上量化可持续发展对气候变化的适应能力的研究。在此,我们开发了一种量化方法来评估可持续发展(包括经济、社会和环境子适应能力表现及适应能力表现指数)对气候变化的适应能力表现,并在中国280个城市进行了首次实证研究。研究发现,2005年至2017年中国可持续发展对气候变化的适应能力表现指数有所提高,尤其是在中国西南部地区,但仍有6.8%的城市呈下降趋势。随着适应能力表现指数的提高,经济、社会和环境子适应能力表现得分之间的协同程度也有所增加。经济发展与可持续发展的改善与更高但差异更大的适应能力表现指数相关。本研究鼓励全球的研究人员和政策制定者关注可持续发展对气候变化的适应能力,以助力在气候变化背景下实现可持续发展与繁荣。

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