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与暴露于热带气旋风暴有关的水性传染病,美国,1996-2018 年。

Waterborne Infectious Diseases Associated with Exposure to Tropical Cyclonic Storms, United States, 1996-2018.

出版信息

Emerg Infect Dis. 2023 Aug;29(8):1548-1558. doi: 10.3201/eid2908.221906.

Abstract

In the United States, tropical cyclones cause destructive flooding that can lead to adverse health outcomes. Storm-driven flooding contaminates environmental, recreational, and drinking water sources, but few studies have examined effects on specific infections over time. We used 23 years of exposure and case data to assess the effects of tropical cyclones on 6 waterborne diseases in a conditional quasi-Poisson model. We separately defined storm exposure for windspeed, rainfall, and proximity to the storm track. Exposure to storm-related rainfall was associated with a 48% (95% CI 27%-69%) increase in Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli infections 1 week after storms and a 42% (95% CI 22%-62%) in increase Legionnaires' disease 2 weeks after storms. Cryptosporidiosis cases increased 52% (95% CI 42%-62%) during storm weeks but declined over ensuing weeks. Cyclones are a risk to public health that will likely become more serious with climate change and aging water infrastructure systems.

摘要

在美国,热带气旋会引发破坏性洪水,从而导致不良的健康后果。风暴引发的洪水会污染环境、娱乐和饮用水源,但很少有研究随着时间的推移来考察对特定感染的影响。我们使用了 23 年的暴露和病例数据,在条件准泊松模型中评估了热带气旋对 6 种水传播疾病的影响。我们分别为风速、降雨量和风暴轨迹接近度定义了风暴暴露。与风暴相关的降雨暴露与风暴后 1 周产志贺毒素大肠杆菌感染增加 48%(95%CI 27%-69%)和风暴后 2 周军团病增加 42%(95%CI 22%-62%)有关。风暴期间隐孢子虫病病例增加了 52%(95%CI 42%-62%),但随后几周的病例数下降。随着气候变化和老化的水基础设施系统,气旋对公共健康构成威胁,而且这种威胁可能会变得更加严重。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4177/10370842/555567d41c5f/22-1906-F1.jpg

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