School of Medicine, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran (S.A.); Rajaie Cardiovascular Medical and Research Center, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran (S.A.).
Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Center, Institute of Basic and Clinical Physiology Sciences, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran (M.Z.); School of Medicine, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran (M.Z.).
Acad Radiol. 2023 Dec;30(12):3076-3085. doi: 10.1016/j.acra.2023.06.002. Epub 2023 Jun 6.
This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to investigate the radiological predictors of post-coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) pulmonary fibrosis and incomplete absorption of pulmonary lesions.
We systematically searched PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science for studies reporting the predictive value of radiological findings in patients with post-COVID-19 lung residuals published through November 11, 2022. The pooled odds ratios with a 95% confidence interval (CI) were assessed. The random-effects model was used due to the heterogeneity of the true effect sizes.
We included 11 studies. There were 1777 COVID-19-positive patients, and 1014 (57%) were male. All studies used chest computed tomography (CT) as a radiologic tool. Moreover, chest X-ray (CXR) and lung ultrasound were used in two studies, along with a CT scan. CT severity score (CTSS), Radiographic Assessment of Lung Edema score (RALE), interstitial score, lung ultrasound score (LUS), patchy opacities, abnormal CXR, pleural traction, and subpleural abnormalities were found to be predictors of post-COVID-19 sequels. CTSS and consolidations were the most common predictors among included studies. Pooled analysis revealed that pulmonary residuals in patients with initial consolidation are about four times more likely than in patients without this finding (odds ratio: 3.830; 95% CI: 1.811-8.102, I2: 4.640).
Radiological findings can predict the long-term pulmonary sequelae of COVID-19 patients. CTSS is an important predictor of lung fibrosis and COVID-19 mortality. Lung fibrosis can be diagnosed and tracked using the LUS. Changes in RALE score during hospitalization can be used as an independent predictor of mortality.
本系统评价和荟萃分析旨在研究 COVID-19 后肺纤维化和肺部病变不完全吸收的放射学预测因素。
我们系统地检索了 PubMed、EMBASE 和 Web of Science,以获取截至 2022 年 11 月 11 日发表的关于 COVID-19 后肺部残留患者放射学表现预测价值的研究报告。使用合并优势比(OR)及其 95%置信区间(CI)进行评估。由于真实效应大小存在异质性,因此使用随机效应模型。
我们纳入了 11 项研究。共有 1777 例 COVID-19 阳性患者,其中 1014 例(57%)为男性。所有研究均使用胸部计算机断层扫描(CT)作为放射学工具。此外,有两项研究还使用了胸部 X 线(CXR)和肺部超声,以及 CT 扫描。CT 严重程度评分(CTSS)、肺部水肿放射评估评分(RALE)、间质评分、肺部超声评分(LUS)、斑片状混浊、异常 CXR、胸膜牵拉和胸膜下异常均被认为是 COVID-19 后后遗症的预测因素。CTSS 和实变是纳入研究中最常见的预测因素。汇总分析显示,与无此发现的患者相比,初始实变患者肺部残留的可能性约高 4 倍(OR:3.830;95%CI:1.811-8.102,I2:4.640)。
放射学表现可以预测 COVID-19 患者的长期肺部后遗症。CTSS 是肺纤维化和 COVID-19 死亡率的重要预测因素。肺部纤维化可以通过 LUS 进行诊断和跟踪。住院期间 RALE 评分的变化可用作死亡率的独立预测因素。