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一种用于监测新冠病毒症状网络的潜在空间模型和霍特林T控制图。

A latent space model and Hotelling's T control chart to monitor the networks of Covid-19 symptoms.

作者信息

Elhambakhsh Fatemeh, Sabri-Laghaie Kamyar, Noorossana Rassoul

机构信息

Industrial Engineering Department, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran, Iran.

Faculty of Industrial Engineering, Urmia University of Technology, Urmia, Iran.

出版信息

J Appl Stat. 2022 Nov 15;50(11-12):2450-2472. doi: 10.1080/02664763.2022.2145459. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

In the COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic, potential patients that suffer from different symptoms can be diagnosed with COVID-19. At the early stages of the pandemic, patients were mainly diagnosed with fever and respiratory symptoms. Recently, patients with new symptoms, such as gastrointestinal or loss of senses, are also diagnosed with COVID-19. Monitoring these symptoms can help the healthcare system to be aware of new symptoms that can be related to the COVID-19 coronavirus. This article focuses on monitoring the behavior of COVID-19 symptoms over time. In this regard, a Latent space model (LSM) and a Generalized linear model (GLM) are introduced to model the networks of symptoms. We apply Hotelling's T2 control chart to the estimated parameters of the LSM and GLM, to identify significant changes and detect anomalies in the networks. The performance of the proposed methods is evaluated using simulation and calculating average run length (ARL). Then, dynamic networks are generated from a COVID-19 epidemic survey dataset.

摘要

在新冠疫情中,出现不同症状的潜在患者都可能被诊断为感染了新冠病毒。在疫情初期,患者主要被诊断为发热和呼吸道症状。最近,出现诸如胃肠道症状或感官丧失等新症状的患者也被诊断为感染了新冠病毒。监测这些症状有助于医疗系统了解可能与新冠病毒相关的新症状。本文重点关注随时间监测新冠症状的表现。在这方面,引入了一个潜在空间模型(LSM)和一个广义线性模型(GLM)来对症状网络进行建模。我们将霍特林T2控制图应用于LSM和GLM的估计参数,以识别显著变化并检测网络中的异常情况。使用模拟和计算平均运行长度(ARL)来评估所提方法的性能。然后,从一项新冠疫情调查数据集中生成动态网络。

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