Division of Epidemiology and Clinical Research, Department of Pediatrics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
J Natl Cancer Inst. 2023 Dec 6;115(12):1576-1585. doi: 10.1093/jnci/djad148.
Population-based surveillance of pediatric cancer incidence trends is critical to determine high-risk populations, drive hypothesis generation, and uncover etiologic heterogeneity. We provide a comprehensive update to the current understanding of pediatric cancer incidence trends by sex, race and ethnicity, and socioeconomic status (SES).
The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results 22 data (2000-2019) was used to summarize age-adjusted incidence rates for children and adolescents aged 0-19 years at diagnosis. The annual percentage change (APC) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were estimated to evaluate incidence trends by sex, race and ethnicity, and SES overall and for cancer subtypes. Tests of statistical significance were 2-sided.
Substantial variation was observed overall and for several histologic types in race and ethnicity- and SES-specific rates. Overall, we observed a statistically significant increase in incidence rates (APC = 0.8%, 95% CI = 0.6% to 1.1%). All race and ethnic groups saw an increase in incidence rates, with the largest occurring among non-Hispanic American Indian and Alaska Native children and adolescents (APC = 1.7%, 95% CI = 0.5% to 2.8%) and the smallest increase occurring among non-Hispanic White children and adolescents (APC = 0.7%, 95% CI = 0.5% to 1.0%). The lowest SES quintiles saw statistically significant increasing trends, while the highest quintile remained relatively stable (quintile 1 [Q1] APC = 1.6%, 95% CI = 0.6% to 2.6%; quintile 5 [Q5] APC = 0.3%, 95% CI = -0.1% to 0.7%).
Childhood cancer incidence is increasing overall and among every race and ethnic group. Variation by race and ethnicity and SES may enable hypothesis generation on drivers of disparities observed.
基于人群的儿科癌症发病率趋势监测对于确定高危人群、推动假说产生和揭示病因异质性至关重要。我们提供了对当前儿童癌症发病率趋势的综合更新,按性别、种族和族裔以及社会经济地位 (SES) 进行了分类。
使用监测、流行病学和最终结果 22 数据(2000-2019 年)总结了诊断时年龄在 0-19 岁的儿童和青少年的年龄调整发病率。估计了年度百分比变化 (APC) 和 95%置信区间 (CI),以评估整体和癌症亚型的性别、种族和族裔以及 SES 趋势。统计检验为双侧。
总体上以及在几种组织学类型中,种族和族裔以及 SES 特定的比率存在很大差异。总体而言,我们观察到发病率呈统计学显著上升 (APC=0.8%,95%CI=0.6%至 1.1%)。所有种族和族裔群体的发病率均有所上升,其中非西班牙裔美洲印第安人和阿拉斯加原住民儿童和青少年的上升幅度最大 (APC=1.7%,95%CI=0.5%至 2.8%),而非西班牙裔白人儿童和青少年的上升幅度最小 (APC=0.7%,95%CI=0.5%至 1.0%)。社会经济地位最低的五分位数呈现出统计学显著的上升趋势,而最高五分位数则相对稳定 (五分位数 1 [Q1]APC=1.6%,95%CI=0.6%至 2.6%;五分位数 5 [Q5]APC=0.3%,95%CI= -0.1%至 0.7%)。
总体而言,儿童癌症的发病率正在上升,而且在每个种族和族裔群体中都在上升。种族和族裔以及 SES 的差异可能有助于产生对观察到的差异驱动因素的假设。