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OECD 国家旅游、实际收入、能源利用和城市化的污染物排放效应:面板分位数方法。

Pollutant emission effect of tourism, real income, energy utilization, and urbanization in OECD countries: a panel quantile approach.

机构信息

Faculty of Economics, Administrative and Social Sciences, Istanbul Gelisim University, Istanbul, Turkey.

Department of Financial Technologies, South Ural State University, Chelyabinsk, Russia.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Jan;28(2):1752-1761. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-10556-y. Epub 2020 Aug 27.

Abstract

Although the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) member countries are largely regarded as a high human development index and high-income economies, evidence has continued to reveal the existential gap among the member countries drive toward achieving environmental sustainability. Giving this motivation, this research employed a panel quantile approach to examine the role of square of per capita income (the environmental Kuznets curve-EKC hypothesis) and per capita income, tourist arrivals, energy consumption, and urbanization on environmental quality in the panel of (31) selected OECD countries over the period 1995-2016. A handful of vital results were presented in the study. First, the evidence of EKC (inverted U-shaped) proposition is establish just for the lower quantiles while a no EKC (U-shaped) hypothesis is found from the 0.25th to 0.90th quantile. In specific, environmental quality starts to improve when the per capita real income peaked at 11, 271.13 USD (0.05th quantile) and 8, 604.15 USD (0.10th quantile) while the environment becomes damaged after income per capita becomes 89, 321.72 USD (0.25th quantile) and 36, 315.50 USD (0.50th quantile). Moreover, the effect of international tourism arrivals, urbanization, and energy consumption are all significant and damaging to environmental quality across the quantile but with a slightly minimized impact toward the upper quantile. Furthermore, there is statistical significant evidence of Granger causality at least from tourism development, energy consumption, urbanization, and per capita income to carbon emissions. Considering the aforementioned results, the study outlined relevant policy mechanism that is poised to guide the OECD member countries on the sustainable development path.

摘要

尽管经济合作与发展组织(OECD)成员国在很大程度上被认为是具有高人类发展指数和高收入的经济体,但有证据继续显示,成员国在实现环境可持续性方面存在明显差距。基于这一动机,本研究采用面板分位数方法,考察了人均收入平方(环境库兹涅茨曲线-EKC 假说)和人均收入、游客入境人数、能源消耗和城市化对 OECD 成员国(1995-2016 年期间)面板中环境质量的影响。研究中提出了一些重要结果。首先,仅在较低分位数上发现了 EKC(倒 U 形)假说的证据,而在 0.25 到 0.90 分位数上则发现了没有 EKC(U 形)假说。具体而言,当人均实际收入达到 11000 美元(0.05 分位数)和 8600 美元(0.10 分位数)时,环境质量开始改善,而当人均收入达到 89321.72 美元(0.25 分位数)和 36315.50 美元(0.50 分位数)时,环境开始恶化。此外,国际游客入境人数、城市化和能源消耗的影响在整个分位数上都是显著的,对环境质量有破坏作用,但对高分位数的影响略有减小。此外,旅游发展、能源消耗、城市化和人均收入对碳排放至少存在统计上显著的格兰杰因果关系。考虑到上述结果,本研究概述了相关的政策机制,旨在为 OECD 成员国的可持续发展道路提供指导。

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