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PECSS:肺栓塞综合筛查评分,用于安全排除急诊科疑似肺栓塞患者。

PECSS: Pulmonary Embolism Comprehensive Screening Score to safely rule out pulmonary embolism among suspected patients presenting to emergency department.

机构信息

Emergency Department of Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.

School of Data Science, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

BMC Pulm Med. 2023 Aug 7;23(1):287. doi: 10.1186/s12890-023-02580-8.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary embolism is a severe cardiovascular disease and can be life-threatening if left untreated. However, the detection rate of pulmonary embolism using existing pretest probability scores remained relatively low and clinical rule out often relied on excessive use of computed tomographic pulmonary angiography.

METHODS

We retrospectively collected data from pulmonary embolism suspected patients in Zhongshan Hospital from July 2018 to October 2022. Pulmonary embolism diagnosis and severity grades were confirmed by computed tomographic pulmonary angiography. Patients were randomly divided into derivation and validation set. To construct the Pulmonary Embolism Comprehensive Screening Score (PECSS), we first screened for candidate clinical predictors using univariate logistic regression models. These predictors were then included in a searching algorithm with indicators of Wells score, where a series of points were assigned to each predictor. Optimal D-Dimer cutoff values were investigated and incorporated with PECSS to rule out pulmonary embolism.

RESULTS

In addition to Wells score, PECSS identified seven clinical predictors (anhelation, abnormal blood pressure, in critical condition when admitted, age > 65 years and high levels of pro-BNP, CRP and UA,) strongly associated with pulmonary embolism. Patients can be safely ruled out of pulmonary embolism if PECSS ≤ 4, or if 4 < PECSS ≤ 6 and D-Dimer ≤ 2.5 mg/L. Comparing with Wells approach, PECSS achieved lower failure rates across all pulmonary embolism severity grades. These findings were validated in the held-out validation set.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared to Wells score, PECSS approaches achieved lower failure rates and better compromise between sensitivity and specificity. Calculation of PECSS is easy and all predictors are readily available upon emergency department admission, making it widely applicable in clinical settings.

TRAIL REGISTRATION

The study was retrospectively registered (No. CJ0647) and approved by Human Genetic Resources in China in April 2022. Ethical approval was received from the Medical Ethics Committee of Zhongshan Hospital (NO.B2021-839R).

摘要

背景

肺栓塞是一种严重的心血管疾病,如果不加以治疗,可能会危及生命。然而,使用现有的术前概率评分检测肺栓塞的检出率仍然相对较低,临床排除常常依赖于过多地使用计算机断层肺动脉造影。

方法

我们回顾性地收集了 2018 年 7 月至 2022 年 10 月中山医院疑似肺栓塞患者的数据。肺栓塞的诊断和严重程度分级通过计算机断层肺动脉造影确定。患者被随机分为推导组和验证组。为了构建肺栓塞综合筛查评分(PECSS),我们首先使用单因素逻辑回归模型筛选候选临床预测因素。然后,这些预测因素被纳入 Wells 评分的搜索算法中,每个预测因素都有一定的分值。研究了最佳 D-二聚体截断值,并将其与 PECSS 结合用于排除肺栓塞。

结果

除了 Wells 评分外,PECSS 还确定了七个与肺栓塞强烈相关的临床预测因素(呼吸困难、血压异常、入院时处于危急状态、年龄>65 岁以及高 Pro-BNP、CRP 和 UA 水平)。如果 PECSS≤4,或者 4<PECSS≤6 且 D-二聚体≤2.5mg/L,患者可以安全地排除肺栓塞。与 Wells 方法相比,PECSS 在所有肺栓塞严重程度等级中都具有较低的漏诊率。这些发现在保留的验证组中得到了验证。

结论

与 Wells 评分相比,PECSS 方法的漏诊率较低,在敏感性和特异性之间取得了更好的平衡。PECSS 的计算简单,所有预测因素在急诊科就诊时均可获得,因此在临床环境中具有广泛的适用性。

试验注册

该研究是回顾性注册的(注册号:CJ0647),并于 2022 年 4 月在中国人类遗传资源中心获得批准。该研究获得了中山医院医学伦理委员会的批准(编号:B2021-839R)。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fd85/10408070/d140f96834cb/12890_2023_2580_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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