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《COVID-19:风险评估视角》

COVID-19: A Risk Assessment Perspective.

作者信息

Schröder Imke

机构信息

University of California Center for Laboratory Safety and the Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Molecular Genetics, UCLA, 607 Charles E Young Drive, Los Angeles, California 90095, United States.

出版信息

J Chem Health Saf. 2020 May 11;27(3):160-169. doi: 10.1021/acs.chas.0c00035. eCollection 2020 May 26.

Abstract

COVID-19 is a newly emerging viral respiratory disease first identified in Wuhan, China, in December 2019. The disease is caused by the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2, which is related to the viruses that cause SARS and MERS. While the case fatality ratio for COVID-19 (5%) is far lower than that for SARS (11%) and MERS (34%), COVID-19 is spreading relatively uncontrolled at this time across the globe. In contrast, SARS appears to be contained, and MERS is controlled. This paper will explore why COVID-19 is able to progress to a global pandemic that affects our daily lives to an extent not known in recent history. The COVID-19 outbreak and spread will be examined based on the current literature, using a researcher's perspective of risk assessment and risk mitigation; this approach will be related to public health.

摘要

2019年12月,新型冠状病毒肺炎(COVID-19)作为一种新出现的病毒性呼吸道疾病首次在中国武汉被发现。该疾病由严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)引起,此病毒与引发SARS和中东呼吸综合征(MERS)的病毒有关。虽然COVID-19的病死率(5%)远低于SARS(11%)和MERS(34%),但目前COVID-19正在全球范围内相对不受控制地传播。相比之下,SARS似乎已得到控制,MERS也处于可控状态。本文将探讨为何COVID-19能够演变成一场影响我们日常生活的全球大流行,其影响程度在近代史上尚属未知。将从研究人员的风险评估和风险缓解角度,基于当前文献对COVID-19的爆发和传播进行审视;这种方法将与公共卫生相关联。

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