David Kline is with the Department of Biostatistics and Data Science, Wake Forest University (WFU) School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC. Amanda M. Bunting, Ariadne Rivera-Aguirre, Noa Krawczyk, and Magdalena Cerda are with the Center for Opioid Epidemiology and Policy, Department of Population Health, New York University (NYU) Langone School of Medicine, New York, NY. Staci A. Hepler is with the Department of Statistical Sciences, Wake Forest University.
Am J Public Health. 2023 Sep;113(9):991-999. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2023.307337.
To examine the state-level history of US overdose deaths involving stimulants with and without opioids from 1999 to 2020. We used death certificate data from the National Center for Health Statistics to categorize deaths into 4 groups of interest: cocaine with and without opioids, and psychostimulants with and without opioids. We used a Bayesian multiple change point model to describe the timing and magnitude of changes in overdose death rates involving stimulants for each state and year. There was little change in the death rates of cocaine without opioids. Death rates involving cocaine and opioids sharply increased around 2015, particularly in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. We also observed steady increases in deaths involving psychostimulants without opioids just before 2010, particularly in states in the West and South. Deaths involving psychostimulants with opioids increased around 2015 with largest increases concentrated in Appalachian states. There is significant geographic heterogeneity in the co-involvement of stimulants in the US overdose crisis. Results can inform public health efforts to inform state-level overdose efforts such as naloxone distribution. ( 2023;113(9):991-999. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2023.307337).
从 1999 年到 2020 年,考察美国涉及兴奋剂(含或不含阿片类药物)的州级药物过量死亡史。我们使用国家卫生统计中心的死亡证明数据,将死亡分为 4 个感兴趣的组:含或不含阿片类药物的可卡因,以及含或不含阿片类药物的苯丙胺类兴奋剂。我们使用贝叶斯多变化点模型来描述每个州和年份涉及兴奋剂的药物过量死亡率变化的时间和幅度。不含阿片类药物的可卡因死亡率几乎没有变化。2015 年前后,涉及可卡因和阿片类药物的死亡率急剧上升,尤其是在东北部和大西洋中部地区。我们还观察到,2010 年前后,不含阿片类药物的苯丙胺类兴奋剂的死亡人数稳步上升,尤其是在西部和南部各州。2015 年前后,涉及含阿片类药物的苯丙胺类兴奋剂的死亡人数增加,阿片类药物增加幅度最大,集中在阿巴拉契亚各州。在美国的药物过量危机中,兴奋剂的共同使用存在显著的地域差异。研究结果可为公共卫生工作提供信息,以指导州级药物过量工作,如纳洛酮的分发。(2023;113(9):991-999。https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2023.307337)。