Medical Research Council Unit The Gambia at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Atlantic Boulevard, Banjul, The Gambia.
Department of Women and Children's Health, School of Life Course Science, Faculty of Life Sciences and Medicine, King's College London, London, UK; Nuffield Department of Women's and Reproductive Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Int J Infect Dis. 2023 Oct;135:109-117. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2023.08.012. Epub 2023 Aug 15.
SARS-CoV-2 transmission in sub-Saharan Africa has probably been underestimated. Population-based seroprevalence studies are needed to determine the extent of transmission in the continent.
Blood samples from a cohort of Gambian pregnant women were tested for SARS-CoV-2 total receptor binding domain (RBD) immunoglobulin (Ig) M/IgG before (Pre-pandemic: October-December 2019) and during the pandemic (Pre-wave 1: February-June 2020; Post-wave 1: October-December 2020, Post-wave 2: May-June 2021; and Post-wave 3: October-December 2021). Samples reactive for SARS-CoV-2 total RBD IgM/IgG were tested in specific S1- and nucleocapsid (NCP) IgG assays.
SARS-CoV-2 total RBD IgM/IgG seroprevalence was 0.9% 95% confidence interval (0.2, 4.9) in Pre-pandemic; 4.1% (1.4, 11.4) in Pre-wave 1; 31.1% (25.2, 37.7) in Post-wave 1; 62.5% (55.8, 68.8) in Post-wave 2 and 90.0% (85.1, 93.5) in Post-wave 3. S-protein IgG and NCP-protein IgG seroprevalence also increased at each Post-wave period. Although S-protein IgG and NCP-protein IgG seroprevalence was similar at Post-wave 1, S-protein IgG seroprevalence was higher at Post-wave 2 and Post-wave 3, (prevalence difference 13.5 [0.1, 26.8] and prevalence ratio 1.5 [1.0, 2.3] in Post-wave 2; and 22.9 [9.2, 36.6] and 1.4 [1.1, 1.8] in Post-wave 3 respectively, P <0.001).
SARS-CoV-2 transmission in The Gambia during the first 3 COVID-19 waves was high, differing significantly from official numbers of COVID-19 cases reported. Our findings are important for policy makers in managing the near-endemic COVID-19.
撒哈拉以南非洲地区的 SARS-CoV-2 传播可能被低估了。需要进行基于人群的血清流行率研究,以确定该大陆的传播程度。
在流行前(2019 年 10 月至 12 月)和大流行期间(第 1 波前:2020 年 2 月至 6 月;第 1 波后:2020 年 10 月至 12 月,第 2 波后:2021 年 5 月至 6 月;第 3 波后:2021 年 10 月至 12 月),对冈比亚孕妇队列的血液样本进行 SARS-CoV-2 全长受体结合域(RBD)免疫球蛋白(Ig)M/IgG 检测。对 SARS-CoV-2 全长 RBD IgM/IgG 呈反应性的样本在特定的 S1 和核衣壳(NCP)IgG 检测中进行检测。
流行前,SARS-CoV-2 全长 RBD IgM/IgG 血清流行率为 0.9%(95%置信区间,0.2,4.9);第 1 波前为 4.1%(1.4,11.4);第 1 波后为 31.1%(25.2,37.7);第 2 波后为 62.5%(55.8,68.8);第 3 波后为 90.0%(85.1,93.5)。S 蛋白 IgG 和 NCP 蛋白 IgG 血清流行率在每个第 3 波后也有所增加。尽管第 1 波后 S 蛋白 IgG 和 NCP 蛋白 IgG 血清流行率相似,但第 2 波和第 3 波后 S 蛋白 IgG 血清流行率更高(第 2 波差异 13.5[0.1,26.8],流行率比 1.5[1.0,2.3];第 3 波差异 22.9[9.2,36.6],流行率比 1.4[1.1,1.8],均 P<0.001)。
在冈比亚的前 3 波 COVID-19 期间,SARS-CoV-2 传播率很高,与官方报告的 COVID-19 病例数有显著差异。我们的研究结果对管理近地方性 COVID-19 的决策者很重要。