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埃塞俄比亚亚的斯亚贝巴新冠肺炎住院患者的死亡率及相关因素

Magnitude and associated factors of mortality among patients admitted with COVID-19 in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

作者信息

Getahun Genanew Kassie, Dinku Amare, Jara Dube, Shitemaw Tewodros, Negash Zelalem

机构信息

Menelik II Medical and Health Science College, Kotebe Metropolitan University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Yanet Health College, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

出版信息

PLOS Glob Public Health. 2023 Aug 17;3(8):e0000420. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0000420. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic continues to grow around the world and has caused enormous mortality and morbidity. The severity and mortality of coronavirus disease are associated with various comorbidities. The infection fatality rate was reported to be inconsistent with different studies. Therefore, the aim of this study was to assess the magnitude and factors associated with mortality among patients admitted to Eka Kotebe General Hospital, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. An institutional-based cross-sectional study was conducted at Eka Kotebe General Hospital among patients who were admitted for COVID-19 from January 15, 2021, to June 30, 2021. A total of 393 records of patients were selected by simple random sampling. Data was extracted from compiled data forms where available information was already tabulated. Data was entered and analyzed using SPSS version 25. The determinant factors associated with mortality among COVID-19 patients were identified using bivariate and multivariable logistic regression analysis. A statistical association was declared with multivariable logistic regression using a 95% confidence interval and a P-value of less than 0.05. The proportion of COVID-19 mortality among patients admitted to Eka Kotebe General Hospital was 8.1% (95% CI (5.4-10.8%)). Age >50 years [AOR = 7.91; 95% CI (2.34-25.70)], being male [AOR = 2.09; 95% CI (1.20-3.65)], having diabetes mellitus [AOR = 2.64; 95% CI (1.30-5.35)], having hypertension [AOR = 2.67; 95% CI (1.22-5.88)] and having chronic kidney disease [AOR = 12.04; 95% CI (4.03-14.22)] were determinant factors of COVID-19 mortality. The current study findings revealed that COVID-19 mortality was high among hospitalized COVID-19 patients. Furthermore, age, gender, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and chronic kidney disease were discovered to be independent predictors of COVID-19 mortality. Therefore, older COVID-19 patients and those with established comorbidities such as hypertension, diabetes, and end-stage renal disease should receive comprehensive preventative efforts, including vaccination.

摘要

新冠疫情在全球持续蔓延,已造成巨大的死亡和发病情况。冠状病毒病的严重程度和死亡率与多种合并症相关。据报道,不同研究中的感染死亡率并不一致。因此,本研究的目的是评估埃塞俄比亚亚的斯亚贝巴埃卡·科泰贝综合医院收治患者的死亡率及其相关因素。在埃卡·科泰贝综合医院对2021年1月15日至2021年6月30日期间因新冠病毒肺炎入院的患者开展了一项基于机构的横断面研究。通过简单随机抽样选取了393例患者的记录。数据从已整理好且信息已列表的表格中提取。使用SPSS 25版软件录入并分析数据。采用二元和多变量逻辑回归分析确定新冠病毒肺炎患者死亡的决定因素。多变量逻辑回归分析采用95%置信区间和P值小于0.05来判定统计学关联。埃卡·科泰贝综合医院收治患者中新冠病毒肺炎的死亡率为8.1%(95%置信区间(5.4 - 10.8%))。年龄>50岁[AOR = 7.91;95%置信区间(2.34 - 25.70)]、男性[AOR = 2.09;95%置信区间(1.20 - 3.65)]、患有糖尿病[AOR = 2.64;95%置信区间(1.30 - 5.35)]、患有高血压[AOR = 2.67;95%置信区间(1.22 - 5.88)]以及患有慢性肾脏病[AOR = 12.04;95%置信区间(4.03 - 14.22)]是新冠病毒肺炎死亡的决定因素。当前研究结果显示,住院新冠病毒肺炎患者的死亡率较高。此外,年龄、性别、糖尿病、高血压和慢性肾脏病被发现是新冠病毒肺炎死亡的独立预测因素。因此,老年新冠病毒肺炎患者以及患有高血压、糖尿病和终末期肾病等已确诊合并症的患者应接受包括接种疫苗在内的全面预防措施。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/61d3/10434868/b72e9f3dcf8b/pgph.0000420.g001.jpg

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