Lee Chang-Moo
Department of Industrial Security, Chung-Ang University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Front Psychol. 2023 Aug 3;14:1209619. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2023.1209619. eCollection 2023.
Although their perspectives and approaches vary, existing criminological theories are all based on the deterministic optimism that the crucial causes of criminal behavior must exist and can be uncovered. However, no key factor can fully explain the causes of criminal behavior. All factors that directly affect the occurrence of criminal behavior are important, and contingency is always at work. More feasible crime prevention and control measures can be proposed only considering the contingency factor. The aim of this study is to point out the limitations of the deterministic view of existing criminological theories that explain the causes of crime after knowing the results, and simultaneously to propose the contingency model with viable alternative solutions.
尽管现有犯罪学理论的观点和方法各不相同，但它们都基于一种决定论的乐观主义，即犯罪行为的关键原因必然存在且能够被揭示。然而，没有任何一个关键因素能够完全解释犯罪行为的成因。所有直接影响犯罪行为发生的因素都很重要，而且偶然性始终在起作用。只有考虑到偶然性因素，才能提出更可行的犯罪预防和控制措施。本研究的目的是指出现有犯罪学理论中那种在知道结果后解释犯罪原因的决定论观点的局限性，同时提出具有可行替代方案的偶然性模型。
