Department of Pediatrics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA
Lwala Community Alliance, Rongo, Kenya.
BMJ Open. 2023 Aug 22;13(8):e074056. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-074056.
OBJECTIVES: The under-five mortality (U5M) rate in Kenya (41 per 1000 live births) remains significantly above international goals (25 per 1000 live births). This is further exacerbated by regional inequalities in mortality. We aimed to describe U5M in Migori County, Kenya, and identify associated factors that can serve as programming targets. DESIGN: Cross-sectional observational survey. SETTING: Areas served by the Lwala Community Alliance and control areas in Migori County, Kenya. PARTICIPANTS: This study included 15 199 children born to respondents during the 18 years preceding the survey. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was mortality in the first 5 years of life. The survey was powered to detect a 10% change in various health metrics over time with 80% power. RESULTS: A total of 15 199 children were included in the primary analyses, and 230 (1.5%) were deceased before the fifth birthday. The U5M rate from 2016 to 2021 was 32.2 per 1000 live births. Factors associated with U5M included year of birth (HR 0.926, p<0.001), female sex (HR 0.702, p=0.01), parental marriage (HR 0.642, p=0.036), multiple gestation pregnancy (HR 2.776, p<0.001), birth spacing less than 18 months (HR 1.894, p=0.005), indoor smoke exposure (HR 1.916, p=0.027) and previous familial contribution to the National Hospital Insurance Fund (HR 0.553, p=0.009). The most common cause of death was malaria. CONCLUSIONS: We describe factors associated with childhood mortality in a Kenyan community using survival analyses of complete birth histories. Mortality rates will serve as the baseline for future programme evaluation as a part of a 10-year study design. This provides both the hyperlocal information needed to improve programming and generalisable conclusions for other organisations working in similar environments.
目的:肯尼亚的五岁以下儿童死亡率(U5M)(每 1000 例活产 41 例)仍然明显高于国际目标(每 1000 例活产 25 例)。这进一步加剧了死亡率方面的区域不平等。我们旨在描述肯尼亚米戈里县的 U5M,并确定可作为规划目标的相关因素。
设计:横断面观察性调查。
地点:肯尼亚拉瓦拉社区联盟服务的地区和米戈里县的对照地区。
参与者:这项研究包括在调查前 18 年期间接受调查的受访者所生的 15199 名儿童。
主要和次要结果测量:主要结果是生命的前 5 年的死亡率。该调查的目的是在不同健康指标上检测到 10%的随时间变化的变化,具有 80%的功率。
结果:共有 15199 名儿童纳入主要分析,其中 230 名(1.5%)在五岁生日前死亡。2016 年至 2021 年期间的 U5M 率为每 1000 例活产 32.2 例。与 U5M 相关的因素包括出生年份(HR 0.926,p<0.001)、女性(HR 0.702,p=0.01)、父母婚姻(HR 0.642,p=0.036)、多胎妊娠(HR 2.776,p<0.001)、出生间隔小于 18 个月(HR 1.894,p=0.005)、室内吸烟暴露(HR 1.916,p=0.027)和以前对国家医院保险基金的家庭贡献(HR 0.553,p=0.009)。最常见的死亡原因是疟疾。
结论:我们使用完整出生史的生存分析描述了肯尼亚社区中与儿童死亡相关的因素。死亡率将作为未来方案评估的基线,作为为期 10 年的研究设计的一部分。这不仅提供了改善规划所需的超本地信息,还为在类似环境中工作的其他组织提供了可推广的结论。
BMC Public Health. 2019-2-4
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2022-2-1
Parasite Epidemiol Control. 2019-1-31
Eur J Pediatr. 2025-1-24
Biomed Res Int. 2022
BMJ Glob Health. 2021-8