Department of Pediatric Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, Chiba University, 1-8-1 Inohana, Chuo-ku, Chiba, 260-8677, Japan.
Endowed Course for Health System Innovation, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
Surg Today. 2024 May;54(5):419-427. doi: 10.1007/s00595-023-02742-5. Epub 2023 Aug 24.
To clarify the influence of surgical volume on the mortality and morbidity of gastrointestinal perforation in children in Japan.
We collected data on pediatric patients with gastrointestinal perforation between 2017 and 2019, from the National Clinical Database. The surgical volumes of various institutions were classified into three groups: low (average number of surgeries for gastrointestinal perforation/year < 1), medium (≥ 1, < 6), and high (≥ 6). The observed-to-expected (o/e) ratios of 30-day mortality and morbidity were calculated for each group using an existing risk model.
Among 1641 patients (median age, 0.0 years), the 30-day mortality and morbidity rates were 5.2% and 37.7%, respectively. The 30-day mortality rates in the low-, medium-, and high-volume institutions were 4.9%, 5.3%, and 5.1% (p = 0.94), and the 30-day morbidity rates in the three groups were 26.8%, 39.7%, and 37.7% (p < 0.01), respectively. The o/e ratios of 30-day mortality were 1.05 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.83-1.26), 1.08 (95% CI 1.01-1.15), and 1.02 (95% CI 0.91-1.13), and those of 30-day morbidity were 1.72 (95% CI 0.93-2.51), 1.03 (95% CI 0.79-1.28), and 0.95 (95% CI 0.56-1.33), respectively.
Surgical volume does not have significant impact on the outcomes of pediatric gastrointestinal perforation in Japan.
阐明手术量对日本儿童胃肠穿孔病死率和发病率的影响。
我们从国家临床数据库中收集了 2017 年至 2019 年期间患有胃肠穿孔的儿科患者数据。将各机构的手术量分为三组:低(每年胃肠穿孔手术量平均<1)、中(≥1,<6)和高(≥6)。使用现有的风险模型计算每组 30 天病死率和发病率的观察到的预期(o/e)比值。
在 1641 例患者中(中位年龄 0.0 岁),30 天病死率和发病率分别为 5.2%和 37.7%。低、中、高手术量机构的 30 天病死率分别为 4.9%、5.3%和 5.1%(p=0.94),三组的 30 天发病率分别为 26.8%、39.7%和 37.7%(p<0.01)。30 天病死率的 o/e 比值分别为 1.05(95%置信区间 [CI] 0.83-1.26)、1.08(95% CI 1.01-1.15)和 1.02(95% CI 0.91-1.13),30 天发病率的 o/e 比值分别为 1.72(95% CI 0.93-2.51)、1.03(95% CI 0.79-1.28)和 0.95(95% CI 0.56-1.33)。
手术量对日本儿童胃肠穿孔的结局没有显著影响。