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入院时肌酐水平对COVID-19患者疾病进展和死亡率的预后价值——一项观察性回顾性研究

Prognostic Value of Creatinine Levels at Admission on Disease Progression and Mortality in Patients with COVID-19-An Observational Retrospective Study.

作者信息

Russo Antonio, Pisaturo Mariantonietta, Monari Caterina, Ciminelli Federica, Maggi Paolo, Allegorico Enrico, Gentile Ivan, Sangiovanni Vincenzo, Esposito Vincenzo, Gentile Valeria, Calabria Giosuele, Pisapia Raffaella, Carriero Canio, Masullo Alfonso, Manzillo Elio, Russo Grazia, Parrella Roberto, Dell'Aquila Giuseppina, Gambardella Michele, Ponticiello Antonio, Onorato Lorenzo, Coppola Nicola

机构信息

Infectious Diseases, Department of Mental Health and Public Medicine, University of Campania "L. Vanvitelli", 80138 Naples, Italy.

Infectious Diseases Unit, A.O. S Anna e S Sebastiano Caserta, 81100 Caserta, Italy.

出版信息

Pathogens. 2023 Jul 25;12(8):973. doi: 10.3390/pathogens12080973.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Acute kidney disease and chronic kidney disease are considered conditions that can increase the mortality and severity of COVID-19. However, few studies have investigated the impact of creatinine levels on COVID-19 progression in patients without a history of chronic kidney disease. The aim of the study was to assess the impact of creatinine levels at hospital admission on COVID-19 progression and mortality.

METHODS

We performed a multicenter, observational, retrospective study involving seventeen COVID-19 Units in the Campania region in southern Italy. All adult (≥18 years) patients, hospitalized with a diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection confirmed by a positive reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction on a naso-oropharyngeal swab, from 28 February 2020 to 31 May 2021, were enrolled in the CoviCamp cohort.

RESULTS

Evaluating inclusion/exclusion criteria, 1357 patients were included. Considering in-hospital mortality and creatinine value at admission, the best cut-off point to discriminate a death during hospitalization was 1.115 mg/dL. The logistic regression demonstrated that factors independently associated with mortality were age (OR 1.082, CI: 1.054-1.110), Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) (OR 1.341, CI: 1.178-1.526), and an abnormal creatinine value at admission, defined as equal to or above 1.12 mg/dL (OR 2.233, CI: 1.373-3.634).

DISCUSSION

In conclusion, our study is in line with previous studies confirming that the creatinine serum level can predict mortality in COVID-19 patients and defining that the best cut-off of the creatinine serum level at admission to predict mortality was 1.12 mg/dL.

摘要

引言

急性肾损伤和慢性肾病被认为是会增加新型冠状病毒肺炎(COVID-19)死亡率和严重程度的病症。然而,很少有研究调查肌酐水平对无慢性肾病病史患者COVID-19病情进展的影响。本研究的目的是评估入院时肌酐水平对COVID-19病情进展和死亡率的影响。

方法

我们进行了一项多中心、观察性、回顾性研究,涉及意大利南部坎帕尼亚地区的17个COVID-19治疗单元。2020年2月28日至2021年5月31日期间,所有经鼻咽拭子逆转录聚合酶链反应阳性确诊为SARS-CoV-2感染而住院的成年(≥18岁)患者被纳入CoviCamp队列。

结果

评估纳入/排除标准后,纳入了1357例患者。考虑住院死亡率和入院时的肌酐值,区分住院期间死亡的最佳临界值为1.115mg/dL。逻辑回归表明,与死亡率独立相关的因素包括年龄(比值比1.082,置信区间:1.054 - 1.110)、查尔森合并症指数(CCI)(比值比1.341,置信区间:1.178 - 1.526)以及入院时肌酐值异常,定义为等于或高于1.12mg/dL(比值比2.233,置信区间:1.373 - 3.634)。

讨论

总之,我们的研究与之前的研究一致,证实肌酐血清水平可预测COVID-19患者的死亡率,并确定入院时预测死亡率的肌酐血清水平最佳临界值为1.12mg/dL。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ab6e/10459783/a3b18f77fd00/pathogens-12-00973-g001.jpg

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