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基于不同格网分辨率的混合优化机器学习识别滑坡易发性模型的基本影响因素:以中巴喀喇昆仑公路为例。

Identifying the essential influencing factors of landslide susceptibility models based on hybrid-optimized machine learning with different grid resolutions: a case of Sino-Pakistani Karakorum Highway.

机构信息

State Key Laboratory of Information Engineering in Surveying, Mapping and Remote Sensing, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430079, China.

The 28th Research Institute of China Electronics Technology Group Corporation, Nanjing, 210007, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Sep;30(45):100675-100700. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-29234-w. Epub 2023 Aug 28.

Abstract

This study attempts to explore the essential influencing factors of landslides and explores the effects of different datasets on landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) at six grid resolutions (i.e., 10 m, 30 m, 300 m, 1000 m, 2000 m, and 3000 m). Firstly, the geospatial dataset of 21 influencing factors was extracted from 1847 historical landslide InSAR (Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar) points, which were taken as a sample for the Sino-Pakistani Karakorum Highway. Secondly, Spearman correlation coefficient (SCC), random forest feature selection (RFFS), and their combinations (SCC-RFFS) were selected at different grid resolutions to identify the essential influencing factors from the 21 original factors. A random division into training set (70%) and test set (30%) was performed. Then, the LSM models for the original influencing factors and the selected influencing factors were constructed separately using machine learning models. Finally, the reasonableness of the essential influencing factors was verified by comparing the accuracy of the models under different grid resolutions. The results show that (1) relief degree of land surface (RDLS), SPI, and rainfall have significant effects on landslide occurrence. (2) The primary elements (i.e., RDLS, slop, rainfall) are less affected by the grid resolution, while the secondary elements (TWI) are more affected by the grid resolution. (3) At 30 m, the SCC-RFFS-RF model can get the highest landslide susceptibility model accuracy. The prediction will also provide scientific guidance for the allocation of land resources on a regional and global scale, and minimize the human and economic costs along the highway, while ensuring safe highway operations.

摘要

本研究旨在探讨滑坡的基本影响因素,并探讨不同数据集对六重网格分辨率(即 10m、30m、300m、1000m、2000m 和 3000m)下滑坡易发性制图(LSM)的影响。首先,从 1847 个历史滑坡干涉合成孔径雷达(InSAR)点中提取了 21 个影响因素的地理空间数据集,作为中巴喀喇昆仑公路的样本。其次,在不同的网格分辨率下选择了Spearman 相关系数(SCC)、随机森林特征选择(RFFS)及其组合(SCC-RFFS),以从 21 个原始因素中确定基本影响因素。然后将数据随机分为训练集(70%)和测试集(30%)。接下来,分别使用机器学习模型构建原始影响因素和选定影响因素的 LSM 模型。最后,通过比较不同网格分辨率下模型的精度来验证基本影响因素的合理性。结果表明:(1)地表坡度、SPI 和降雨量对滑坡发生有显著影响;(2)主要因素(即 RDLS、坡度、降雨量)受网格分辨率的影响较小,而次要因素(TWI)受网格分辨率的影响较大;(3)在 30m 分辨率下,SCC-RFFS-RF 模型可以获得最高的滑坡易发性模型精度。本研究的预测结果将为区域和全球尺度的土地资源配置提供科学指导,最大限度地减少公路沿线的人力和经济成本,同时确保公路的安全运行。

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