Tomas C W, Fumo N, Kostelac C A, Flynn-O'Brien K, Levas M, Moore R, de Roon-Cassini T A, Hargarten S
Division of Epidemiology and Social Sciences, Institute for Health and Equity, Medial College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI, USA; Comprehensive Injury Center, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI, USA.
Comprehensive Injury Center, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI, USA.
Prev Med. 2023 Oct;175:107684. doi: 10.1016/j.ypmed.2023.107684. Epub 2023 Aug 26.
Firearms are now the leading cause of death for U.S. children and teens ages 0-19. The U.S. Department of Justice Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF) reported data in 2022 on firearm production, for specific firearm types and calibers. We hypothesized there would be a correlation between firearm production and firearm deaths and nonfatal injuries in youth.
All firearm deaths and nonfatal injury rates for youth ages 0-19 were extracted from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention from 2001 to 2020. Firearm production from 2001 to 2020 was extracted from the 2022 ATF Firearms in Commerce Report for overall firearm production, production by weapon type and pistol caliber. Relationships between firearm death and injury and firearm production were evaluated using correlational analyses.
Firearm death and nonfatal injury rates for youth increased from 2001 to 2020 by 48.2% and 69.2%, respectively, and firearm production increased 265% overall and 1298% for 9 mm pistols. There was no correlation between total firearm manufacturing and total firearm deaths or nonfatal injury rates from 2001 to 2020 (all r < 0.28). Pistol caliber (25 and 9 mm) was associated with total firearm deaths and nonfatal injuries (all r > 0.55).
While total firearm manufacturing was not related to firearm deaths and injuries, except suicides, there were strong relationships between 9 mm pistol production and firearm deaths and injuries in youth. Firearm injuries are preventable; we must invest in stronger information systems that track details of firearms linked with deaths and injuries.
枪支现已成为美国0至19岁儿童和青少年的首要死因。美国司法部烟酒枪炮及爆炸物管理局（ATF）于2022年公布了特定枪支类型和口径的枪支生产数据。我们推测枪支生产与青少年枪支死亡及非致命伤害之间存在关联。
从疾病控制与预防中心提取了2001年至2020年0至19岁青少年的所有枪支死亡和非致命伤害率。从2022年ATF商业枪支报告中提取了2001年至2020年的枪支生产数据，包括总体枪支生产、按武器类型和手枪口径的生产情况。使用相关分析评估枪支死亡和伤害与枪支生产之间的关系。
2001年至2020年，青少年枪支死亡和非致命伤害率分别上升了48.2%和69.2%，枪支生产总体增长了265%，9毫米手枪增长了1298%。2001年至2020年，枪支总制造量与枪支总死亡或非致命伤害率之间无相关性（所有r<0.28）。手枪口径（25毫米和9毫米）与枪支总死亡和非致命伤害相关（所有r>0.55）。
虽然除自杀外，枪支总制造量与枪支死亡和伤害无关，但9毫米手枪生产与青少年枪支死亡和伤害之间存在密切关系。枪支伤害是可预防的；我们必须投资建立更强大的信息系统，以跟踪与死亡和伤害相关的枪支细节。
