Zacharias L, Rand W M
Ann Hum Biol. 1986 Jul-Aug;13(4):369-86. doi: 10.1080/03014468600008551.
Weight measurements at frequent intervals, from age six to adulthood, of 248 contemporary middle-class American girls were fitted to a mathematical model (Preece and Baines 1978). The results are used to examine weight and weight velocity at specified ages, the characteristics of the weight growth spurt and the relation of this spurt to menarche. These statistics are compared with previously complied height statistics for the same girls. Although the data of all 248 girls were readily fitted, no usable spurt take-off ages were found for 41 girls. Calculations, therefore, were made separately for two subsets: principal subset A (207) and variant subset B (41). The values (subset A) for weight at specified ages and at critical points of the adolescent growth spurt agree well with comparable US and Western European data. Comparing weight spurt (subset A) with height spurt, the weight spurt takes off earlier, peaks and ends later; adult weight is reached much later. The Preece-Baines model lacks a component for analysing the mid-growth spurt. Therefore, for some children, the model makes a too-early estimate of age at adolescent spurt take-off (and other dependent variables). This may account for the unrealistic take-off ages of girls in subset B, although these girls are also significantly younger and lighter than subset A girls at spurt peak and are also younger at menarche. While certain differences between the two subsets may be mathematical distortions caused by the Preece-Baines model, others may be real.
对248名当代美国中产阶级女孩从6岁到成年期间的体重进行频繁测量,并将其数据拟合到一个数学模型(普里斯和贝恩斯,1978年)。结果用于检验特定年龄的体重和体重增长速度、体重增长突增的特征以及该突增与月经初潮的关系。这些统计数据与之前为同一批女孩整理的身高统计数据进行了比较。尽管所有248名女孩的数据都很容易拟合,但有41名女孩未找到可用的突增起始年龄。因此,分别对两个子集进行了计算:主要子集A(207名)和变体子集B(41名)。特定年龄以及青春期生长突增关键点的体重值(子集A)与美国和西欧的可比数据吻合良好。将体重突增(子集A)与身高突增进行比较,体重突增开始得更早,达到峰值和结束得更晚;成年体重的达成要晚得多。普里斯 - 贝恩斯模型缺乏分析生长突增中期的组成部分。因此,对于一些儿童,该模型对青春期突增起始年龄(以及其他相关变量)的估计过早。这可能解释了子集B中女孩不切实际的起始年龄,尽管这些女孩在突增峰值时也明显比子集A中的女孩年龄更小、体重更轻,且月经初潮时年龄也更小。虽然两个子集之间的某些差异可能是由普里斯 - 贝恩斯模型导致的数学扭曲,但其他差异可能是真实存在的。