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政策严格程度与新冠疫情传播:文化的调节作用及其对初期应对措施的影响

Policy stringency and the spread of COVID-19: The moderating role of culture and its implications on first responses.

作者信息

Tu Ke, Chen Shirley, Mesler Rhiannon MacDonnell

机构信息

Tu is Assistant Professor of Marketing at the Dhillon School of Business at the University of Lethbridge (Calgary Campus), 345 6 Ave SE s6032, Calgary, AB T2G 4V1, Canada.

Shirley (Shuo) Chen is Assistant Professor of Marketing at the Lazaridis School of Business and Economics at the Wilfrid Laurier University, 64 University Ave W, Waterloo, ON N2L 3C7, Canada.

出版信息

Health Policy. 2023 Nov;137:104896. doi: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2023.104896. Epub 2023 Aug 21.

DOI:10.1016/j.healthpol.2023.104896
PMID:37688952
Abstract

There has been a noticeable variance between countries in the growth rate of COVID-19 since the start of the pandemic. Researchers attempted to understand this variance from two primary perspectives: the policies implemented to curb the spread of the virus [1] and the cross-country cultural differences [2]. However, little research to date has looked at the joint effects of policy responses and national culture. We argue that the effectiveness of restrictive policies depends on cultural values. Specifically, when policies are non-mandatary, cultural values influence people's voluntary adherence to these policies, and hence, the spread of COVID-19. We analyzed the growth data in daily new cases across 78 countries, focusing on the joint impact of containment policies and cultural values. We found that although policy responses (i.e., containment policies) significantly predicted the spread rate of COVID-19 over time, their effects were moderated by cultural variables as well. Implications for policymaking are discussed.

摘要

自疫情开始以来,各国在新冠病毒的增长率方面存在显著差异。研究人员试图从两个主要角度来理解这种差异:为遏制病毒传播而实施的政策[1]以及国家间的文化差异[2]。然而,迄今为止,很少有研究考察政策应对措施和民族文化的共同影响。我们认为,限制性政策的有效性取决于文化价值观。具体而言,当政策不是强制性的时候,文化价值观会影响人们对这些政策的自愿遵守,进而影响新冠病毒的传播。我们分析了78个国家每日新增病例的增长数据,重点关注遏制政策和文化价值观的共同影响。我们发现,尽管政策应对措施(即遏制政策)随着时间的推移显著预测了新冠病毒的传播速度,但其效果也受到文化变量的调节。文中还讨论了对政策制定的启示。

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