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那不勒斯评分:新辅助化疗乳腺癌患者的一种新型预后生物标志物。

Naples score: a novel prognostic biomarker for breast cancer patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

作者信息

Xiu Yuting, Jiang Cong, Huang Qinghua, Yu Xiao, Qiao Kun, Wu Danping, Yang Xiaotian, Zhang Shiyuan, Lu Xiangshi, Huang Yuanxi

机构信息

Department of Breast Surgery, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, Harbin, 150086, China.

Department of Breast Surgery, Wuzhou Red Cross Hospital, Wuzhou, 543000, China.

出版信息

J Cancer Res Clin Oncol. 2023 Nov;149(17):16097-16110. doi: 10.1007/s00432-023-05366-x. Epub 2023 Sep 12.

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The Naples Score (NPS) is a novel prognostic indicator that has been used in various cancers, but its potential in breast malignant tumor patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) has not been discovered. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between NPS and overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in breast cancer patients.

METHODS

A total of 217 breast cancer patients undergoing NAC were incorporated into this retrospectively research. K-M survival curves and log-rank tests are used to determine OS and DFS. Cox regression model was used to evaluate the relationship between NPS and OS and DFS. Nomogram was developed based on the results of multivariate Cox regression analysis. Prognostic models were internally validated using bootstrapping and the consistency index (C-index).

RESULTS

Age group was correlated with NPS (p < 0.05). Low and moderate Naples risk patients had higher 5-year OS and DFS rates than high risk Naples patients (93.8% vs. 75.4% vs. 60.0%; X = 9.2, P = 0.01; 82.4% vs 64.5% vs 43.7%; X = 7.4, P = 0.024; respectively). The nomogram based on demonstrated good performance in predicting OS and DFS (AUC = 0.728, 0.630; respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In breast cancer patients who have undergone NAC, NPS is a novel prognostic indicator. NPS combined with clinicopathological features showed good predictive ability, and its performance was better than that of traditional pathological TNM staging.

摘要

背景与目的

那不勒斯评分(NPS)是一种已应用于多种癌症的新型预后指标,但其在接受新辅助化疗(NAC)的乳腺恶性肿瘤患者中的潜力尚未被发现。本研究旨在探讨NPS与乳腺癌患者总生存期(OS)和无病生存期(DFS)之间的关系。

方法

本回顾性研究纳入了217例接受NAC的乳腺癌患者。采用K-M生存曲线和对数秩检验来确定OS和DFS。使用Cox回归模型评估NPS与OS和DFS之间的关系。基于多变量Cox回归分析结果构建列线图。采用自举法和一致性指数(C-index)对预后模型进行内部验证。

结果

年龄组与NPS相关(p < 0.05)。低和中度那不勒斯风险患者的5年OS和DFS率高于高风险那不勒斯患者(分别为93.8%对75.4%对60.0%;X = 9.2,P = 0.01;82.4%对64.5%对43.7%;X = 7.4,P = 0.024)。基于此构建的列线图在预测OS和DFS方面表现良好(AUC分别为0.728、0.630)。

结论

在接受NAC的乳腺癌患者中,NPS是一种新型预后指标。NPS联合临床病理特征显示出良好的预测能力,其表现优于传统病理TNM分期。

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