Suppr超能文献

回归校准法的推广。

A generalisation of the method of regression calibration.

机构信息

Radiation Epidemiology Branch, National Cancer Institute, Room 7E546, 9609 Medical Center Drive, Bethesda, MD, 20892-9778, USA.

Biology and Environmental Chemistry Division, Sustainable System Research Laboratory, Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry (CRIEPI), 1646 Abiko, Chiba, 270-1194, Japan.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2023 Sep 13;13(1):15127. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-42283-y.

Abstract

There is direct evidence of risks at moderate and high levels of radiation dose for highly radiogenic cancers such as leukaemia and thyroid cancer. For many cancer sites, however, it is necessary to assess risks via extrapolation from groups exposed at moderate and high levels of dose, about which there are substantial uncertainties. Crucial to the resolution of this area of uncertainty is the modelling of the dose-response relationship and the importance of both systematic and random dosimetric errors for analyses in the various exposed groups. It is well recognised that measurement error can alter substantially the shape of this relationship and hence the derived population risk estimates. Particular attention has been devoted to the issue of shared errors, common in many datasets, and particularly important in occupational settings. We propose a modification of the regression calibration method which is particularly suited to studies in which there is a substantial amount of shared error, and in which there may also be curvature in the true dose response. This method can be used in settings where there is a mixture of Berkson and classical error. In fits to synthetic datasets in which there is substantial upward curvature in the true dose response, and varying (and sometimes substantial) amounts of classical and Berkson error, we show that the coverage probabilities of all methods for the linear coefficient [Formula: see text] are near the desired level, irrespective of the magnitudes of assumed Berkson and classical error, whether shared or unshared. However, the coverage probabilities for the quadratic coefficient [Formula: see text] are generally too low for the unadjusted and regression calibration methods, particularly for larger magnitudes of the Berkson error, whether this is shared or unshared. In contrast Monte Carlo maximum likelihood yields coverage probabilities for [Formula: see text] that are uniformly too high. The extended regression calibration method yields coverage probabilities that are too low when shared and unshared Berkson errors are both large, although otherwise it performs well, and coverage is generally better than these other three methods. A notable feature is that for all methods apart from extended regression calibration the estimates of the quadratic coefficient [Formula: see text] are substantially upwardly biased.

摘要

有直接证据表明,在中度和高度辐射剂量下,高度放射性癌症(如白血病和甲状腺癌)的风险会增加。然而,对于许多癌症部位,需要通过从中度和高度剂量组外推来评估风险,而这存在很大的不确定性。解决这一不确定性领域的关键是对剂量-反应关系进行建模,以及系统和随机剂量学误差对不同暴露组分析的重要性。人们充分认识到,测量误差会极大地改变这种关系的形状,从而改变由此得出的人群风险估计值。人们特别关注许多数据集共有的共享误差问题,这在职业环境中尤为重要。我们提出了一种回归校正方法的改进方法,该方法特别适用于存在大量共享误差且真实剂量反应可能存在曲率的研究。该方法可用于存在混合 Berkson 和经典误差的环境中。在拟合存在真实剂量反应存在较大向上曲率且存在不同(有时是较大)量的经典和 Berkson 误差的综合数据集时,我们发现,对于线性系数 [Formula: see text],所有方法的覆盖率概率都接近所需水平,无论假设的 Berkson 和经典误差的大小如何,无论是共享的还是非共享的。然而,对于未调整的和回归校正方法,二次系数 [Formula: see text] 的覆盖率概率通常太低,特别是对于 Berkson 误差的较大幅度,无论其是共享的还是非共享的。相比之下,蒙特卡罗最大似然法对 [Formula: see text] 的覆盖率概率普遍过低。扩展回归校正方法在共享和非共享 Berkson 误差都很大时,覆盖率概率过低,尽管它表现良好,且覆盖率通常优于其他三种方法。一个显著的特点是,除了扩展回归校正方法之外,所有方法的二次系数 [Formula: see text] 的估计值都存在较大的向上偏差。

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验