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探索统计和机器学习技术以识别影响室内氡浓度的因素。

Exploring statistical and machine learning techniques to identify factors influencing indoor radon concentration.

作者信息

Dicu T, Cucoş A, Botoş M, Burghele B, Florică Ş, Baciu C, Ştefan B, Bălc R

机构信息

"Constantin Cosma" Radon Laboratory (LiRaCC), Faculty of Environmental Science and Engineering, "Babeş-Bolyai" University, Fântânele Street, no. 30, Cluj-Napoca, Romania.

"Constantin Cosma" Radon Laboratory (LiRaCC), Faculty of Environmental Science and Engineering, "Babeş-Bolyai" University, Fântânele Street, no. 30, Cluj-Napoca, Romania.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2023 Dec 20;905:167024. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.167024. Epub 2023 Sep 13.

Abstract

Radon is a radioactive gas with a carcinogenic effect. The malign effect on human health is, however, mostly influenced by the level of exposure. Dangerous exposure occurs predominantly indoors where the level of indoor radon concentration (IRC) is, in its turn, influenced by several factors. The current study aims to investigate the combined effects of geology, pedology, and house characteristics on the IRC based on 3132 passive radon measurements conducted in Romania. Several techniques for evaluating the impact of predictors on the dependent variable were used, from univariate statistics to artificial neural network and random forest regressor (RFR). The RFR model outperformed the other investigated models in terms of R (0.14) and RMSE (0.83) for the radon concentration, as a dependent continuous variable. Using IRC discretized into two classes, based on the median (115 Bq/m), an AUC-ROC value of 0.61 was obtained for logistic regression and 0.62 for the random forest classifier. The presence of cellar beneath the investigated room, the construction period, the height above the sea level or the floor type are the main predictors determined by the models used.

摘要

氡是一种具有致癌作用的放射性气体。然而,其对人体健康的有害影响主要受暴露水平的影响。危险暴露主要发生在室内,而室内氡浓度(IRC)水平又受多种因素影响。本研究旨在基于在罗马尼亚进行的3132次被动氡测量,调查地质、土壤学和房屋特征对IRC的综合影响。使用了多种评估预测变量对因变量影响的技术,从单变量统计到人工神经网络和随机森林回归器(RFR)。作为因变量的连续变量,对于氡浓度,RFR模型在R(0.14)和RMSE(0.83)方面优于其他研究模型。基于中位数(115 Bq/m³)将IRC离散化为两类,逻辑回归的AUC-ROC值为0.61,随机森林分类器的AUC-ROC值为0.62。所使用的模型确定,被调查房间下方是否有地下室、建造时期、海拔高度或地板类型是主要预测变量。

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