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中国兰州环境一氧化碳与呼吸系统疾病每日医院门诊就诊的相对风险

Ambient carbon monoxide and relative risk of daily hospital outpatient visits for respiratory diseases in Lanzhou, China.

作者信息

Liu Yaocong, You Jianhua, Dong Jiyuan, Wang Jiancheng, Bao Hairong

机构信息

School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China.

Gansu Provincial Hospital, Lanzhou, 730050, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Int J Biometeorol. 2023 Dec;67(12):1913-1925. doi: 10.1007/s00484-023-02550-z. Epub 2023 Sep 20.

Abstract

At present, evidence of the associations between carbon monoxide (CO) and respiratory diseases (RD) in Northwest China is limited and controversial. The aim of this study is to evaluate the impact of ambient CO on outpatient visits for RD in Lanzhou, China. The daily amount of outpatient visits for total and cause-specific RD, air pollutant, and weather variables were collected in Lanzhou, China from 1st January 2013 to 31st December 2019. A generalized additive model and distributed lag nonlinear model were used to assess associations between CO and outpatient visits for RD. During the study period, a total of 1,623,361 RD outpatient visits were recorded. For each interquartile range (IQR) (0.77 mg/m) increase in CO, the relative risk (RR) was 1.163 (95% CI: 1.138, 1.188) for total RD at lag07, 1.153 (95% CI: 1.128,1.179) for upper respiratory tract infection (URTI) at lag07, 1.379 (95% CI: 1.338,1.422) for pneumonia at lag07, 1.029 (95% CI: 0.997,1.062) for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) lag04, 1.068 (95% CI: 1.028,1.110) for asthma lag03, and 1.212 (95% CI: 1.178,1.247) for bronchitis lag07, respectively. In the subgroup analyses, the impacts of CO were more pronounced on total RD, pneumonia, COPD, and bronchitis in males than females, while the opposite was true in URTI and asthma. The impact of CO on RD was the strongest for children under 15 years-of-age. We also found significantly stronger effects during cold seasons compared to warm seasons. In addition, we observed a roughly linear exposure-response curve between CO and RD with no threshold effect. This study in Lanzhou revealed a remarkable association between CO level and an elevated risk of total and cause-specific RD outpatient visits, especially for pneumonia.

摘要

目前,中国西北地区一氧化碳(CO)与呼吸道疾病(RD)之间关联的证据有限且存在争议。本研究旨在评估中国兰州环境CO对RD门诊就诊的影响。收集了2013年1月1日至2019年12月31日中国兰州RD的总门诊量及病因特异性门诊量、空气污染物和气象变量。采用广义相加模型和分布滞后非线性模型评估CO与RD门诊就诊之间的关联。研究期间,共记录了1,623,361次RD门诊就诊。CO每增加一个四分位数间距(IQR)(0.77 mg/m),总RD在滞后07时的相对风险(RR)为1.163(95%置信区间:1.138, 1.188),上呼吸道感染(URTI)在滞后07时为1.153(95%置信区间:1.128, 1.179),肺炎在滞后07时为1.379(95%置信区间:1.338, 1.422),慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)在滞后04时为1.029(95%置信区间:0.997, 1.062),哮喘在滞后03时为1.068(95%置信区间:1.028, 1.110),支气管炎在滞后07时为1.212(95%置信区间:1.178, 1.247)。在亚组分析中,CO对男性总RD、肺炎、COPD和支气管炎的影响比对女性更明显,而在URTI和哮喘中则相反。CO对15岁以下儿童的RD影响最强。我们还发现,与温暖季节相比,寒冷季节的影响明显更强。此外,我们观察到CO与RD之间大致呈线性暴露-反应曲线,无阈值效应。兰州的这项研究揭示了CO水平与总RD及病因特异性RD门诊就诊风险升高之间存在显著关联,尤其是肺炎。

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