Ji Shuyi, Jones Rachael M, Lei Hao
School of Public Health, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, P.R. China.
Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Risk Anal. 2024 May;44(5):1143-1155. doi: 10.1111/risa.14227. Epub 2023 Sep 24.
Exploring the relative importance of different routes in SARS-CoV-2 transmission is crucial in infection prevention. However, even in the same environmental setting, the relative importance of different routes has varied in different studies. We hypothesize that respiratory aerosol size and number distribution might play a key role. In this study, size and number distribution of respiratory droplets emitted from breathing, talking, and coughing were identified from PubMed and Web of Science. The infection risk of SARS-CoV-2 via airborne, droplet, and fomite transmission routes was modeled in a household and a healthcare setting. The relative importance of three routes varied with different size distributions in both settings. Generally, the contribution of the airborne route increased with the volume percentage of respirable droplets emitted. And the increase of the total number of emitted droplets leads to an increase in the contribution of tdroplet route. In the healthcare setting, as the total number of emitted droplets increased from 110 to 4,973, the contribution of droplet route increased from 62.24% to 98.11%. Next, by considering the combination of breathing, coughing, and talking when the infected person was asymptomatic, the airborne route predominated over the droplet and contact routes. When the infected person had developed symptoms, that is, cough, the droplet route played a dominant role in SARS-CoV-2 transmission. In conclusion, risk analyses will be improved with improved sampling methods that enable characterization of viruses within respiratory droplets of different sizes.
探索不同传播途径在新冠病毒传播中的相对重要性对于感染预防至关重要。然而,即使在相同的环境条件下,不同研究中不同传播途径的相对重要性也有所不同。我们推测呼吸气溶胶的大小和数量分布可能起关键作用。在本研究中,从PubMed和Web of Science上确定了呼吸、说话和咳嗽时呼出的呼吸道飞沫的大小和数量分布。在家庭和医疗环境中对新冠病毒通过空气传播、飞沫传播和接触传播途径的感染风险进行了建模。在这两种环境中,三种传播途径的相对重要性随不同的大小分布而变化。一般来说,空气传播途径的贡献随着可吸入飞沫排出体积百分比的增加而增加。并且排出飞沫总数的增加导致飞沫传播途径的贡献增加。在医疗环境中,随着排出飞沫总数从110增加到4973,飞沫传播途径的贡献从62.24%增加到98.11%。接下来,考虑感染者无症状时呼吸、咳嗽和说话的组合情况,空气传播途径比飞沫传播和接触传播途径更占主导。当感染者出现症状,即咳嗽时,飞沫传播途径在新冠病毒传播中起主导作用。总之,通过改进采样方法以能够对不同大小呼吸道飞沫中的病毒进行表征,风险分析将得到改善。