Blanco Kevin, Villamizar Sandra R, Avila-Diaz Alvaro, Marceló-Díaz Catalina, Santamaría Erika, Lesmes María Camila
Universidad Industrial de Santander, Carrera 27 Calle 9, Bucaramanga, Postal Code 680002, Colombia.
Research Group ``Interactions Climate-Ecosystems (ICE)'', Earth System Science Program, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Universidad del Rosario, Carrera 24 #63C-69, Bogotá, Postal Code 111221, Colombia.
Data Brief. 2023 Sep 3;50:109542. doi: 10.1016/j.dib.2023.109542. eCollection 2023 Oct.
This study used the geostatistical Kriging methodology to reduce the spatial scale of a host of daily meteorological variables in the Department of Cauca (Colombia), namely, total precipitation and maximum, minimum, and average temperature. The objective was to supply a high-resolution database from 01/01/2015 to 31/12/2021 in order to support the climate component in a project led by the National Institute of Health (INS) named "Spatial Stratification of dengue based on the identification of risk factors: a pilot study in the Department of Cauca". The scaling process was applied to available databases from satellite information and reanalysis sources, specifically, CHIRPS (Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station Data), ERA5-Land (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts), and MSWX (Multi-Source Weather). The 0.1° resolution offered by both the MSWX and ERA5-Land databases and the 0.05° resolution found in CHIRPS, was successfully reduced to a scale of 0.01° across all variables. Statistical metrics such as Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Person Correlation Coefficient (r), and Mean Bias Error (MBE) were used to select the database that best estimated each variable. As a result, it was determined that the scaled ERA5-Land database yielded the best performance for precipitation and minimum daily temperature. On the other hand, the scaled MSWX database showed the best behavior for the other two variables of maximum temperature and daily average temperature. Additionally, using the scaled meteorological databases improved the performance of the regression models implemented by the INS for constructing a dengue early warning system.
本研究采用地质统计学克里金法,缩小了哥伦比亚考卡省一系列每日气象变量的空间尺度,这些变量包括总降水量、最高气温、最低气温和平均气温。目的是提供一个从2015年1月1日至2021年12月31日的高分辨率数据库,以支持由国立卫生研究院(INS)牵头的一个名为“基于风险因素识别的登革热空间分层:考卡省的一项试点研究”项目中的气候要素。尺度转换过程应用于来自卫星信息和再分析源的可用数据库,具体来说包括CHIRPS(气候灾害组红外降水与站点数据)、ERA5-Land(欧洲中期天气预报中心)和MSWX(多源气象数据)。MSWX和ERA5-Land数据库提供的0.1°分辨率以及CHIRPS中的0.05°分辨率,均成功缩小至所有变量的0.01°尺度。使用均方根误差(RMSE)、平均绝对误差(MAE)、皮尔逊相关系数(r)和平均偏差误差(MBE)等统计指标来选择对每个变量估计最佳的数据库。结果确定,尺度转换后的ERA5-Land数据库在降水量和每日最低气温方面表现最佳。另一方面,尺度转换后的MSWX数据库在最高气温和每日平均气温这两个其他变量方面表现最佳。此外,使用尺度转换后的气象数据库提高了INS为构建登革热预警系统而实施的回归模型的性能。