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追踪印度农业和非农业贸易网络的时空变化。

Tracing spatiotemporal changes in agricultural and non-agricultural trade networks of India.

机构信息

Discipline of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar, Palaj, Gandhinagar, Gujarat, India.

Dr. Kiran C. Patel Center of Sustainable Development, Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar, Palaj, Gandhinagar, Gujarat, India.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2023 Sep 26;18(9):e0286725. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0286725. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

The evolving international economic instability and international trade relationship demand a nation to move towards a self-reliant integrated system at a sub-national scale to address the growing human needs. Given India's role in the global trade network, it is critical to explore the underlying extensive complex trade network at the domestic scale. The potential advantages of complex interaction among the different commodities remain unexplored despite the known importance of trade networks in maintaining food security and industrial sustainability. Here we perform a comprehensive analysis of agricultural flows in contrast with non-agricultural commodities across Indian states. The spatio-temporal evolution of the networks from 2010-2018 was studied by evaluating topological network characteristics of consistent spatially disaggregated trade data. Our results show an increase in average annual trade value by 23.3% and 15.4% for agriculture and non-agriculture commodities, respectively, with no significant increase in connectivity observed in both networks. However, they depict contrasting behavior concerning the spatio-temporal changes, with non-agriculture trade becoming more dependent on production hubs and the agriculture trade progressing toward self-reliance, which signifies the evolution of the diversification in the existing agrarian trade network. Our findings could serve as an important element in deepening the knowledge of practical applications like resilience and recovery by devising design appropriate policy interventions for sustainable development.

摘要

不断变化的国际经济不稳定和国际贸易关系要求一个国家在国家以下层面上向自给自足的综合体系发展,以满足不断增长的人类需求。鉴于印度在全球贸易网络中的作用,探索国内规模下潜在的广泛复杂贸易网络至关重要。尽管贸易网络在维护粮食安全和工业可持续性方面的重要性是已知的,但不同商品之间复杂相互作用的潜在优势仍未得到探索。在这里,我们对印度各州的农业和非农业商品进行了全面的比较分析。通过评估一致的空间离散贸易数据的拓扑网络特征,研究了 2010 年至 2018 年网络的时空演变。结果表明,农业和非农业商品的年平均贸易价值分别增长了 23.3%和 15.4%,但两个网络的连接性都没有明显增加。然而,它们在时空变化方面表现出相反的行为,非农业贸易越来越依赖于生产中心,而农业贸易则朝着自给自足的方向发展,这标志着现有农业贸易网络的多样化演变。我们的研究结果可以作为深化知识的一个重要元素,通过设计适当的政策干预措施促进可持续发展,从而在弹性和恢复等实际应用方面提供帮助。

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