Big Data Research Center for Ecology and Environment, Environment Research Institute, Shandong University, Qingdao, 266003, PR China.
Big Data Research Center for Ecology and Environment, Environment Research Institute, Shandong University, Qingdao, 266003, PR China.
Environ Pollut. 2023 Nov 15;337:122612. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2023.122612. Epub 2023 Sep 25.
Primary emissions of particulate matter and gaseous pollutants, such as SO and NO have decreased in China following the implementation of a series of policies by the Chinese government to address air pollution. However, controlling secondary inorganic aerosol pollution requires attention. This study examined the characteristics of the secondary conversion of nitrate (NO) and sulfate (SO) in three coastal cities of Shandong Province, namely Binzhou (BZ), Dongying (DY), and Weifang (WF), and an inland city, Jinan (JN), during December 2021. Furthermore, the Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP), an interpretable attribution technique, was adopted to accurately calculate the contributions of secondary formations to PM The nitrogen oxidation rate exhibited a significant dependence on the concentration of O. High humidity facilitates sulfur oxidation. Compared to BZ, DY, and WF, the secondary conversion of NO and SO was more intense in JN. The light-gradient boosting model outperformed the random forest and extreme-gradient boosting models, achieving a mean R value of 0.92. PM pollution events in BZ, DY, and WF were primarily attributable to biomass burning, whereas pollution in Jinan was contributed by the secondary formation of NO and vehicle emissions. Machine learning and the SHAP interpretable attribution technique offer a precise analysis of the causes of air pollution, showing high potential for addressing environmental concerns.
中国政府实施了一系列治理空气污染的政策,已使得颗粒物和气体污染物(如 SO 和 NO 等)的一次排放有所减少,但控制二次无机气溶胶污染仍需要关注。本研究考察了山东省三个沿海城市(滨州、东营和潍坊)和一个内陆城市(济南)在 2021 年 12 月硝酸盐(NO)和硫酸盐(SO)二次转化的特征。此外,采用了可解释归因技术——Shapley Additive Explanation(SHAP),以准确计算二次形成对 PM 的贡献。氮氧化速率对 O 浓度具有显著依赖性,高湿度有利于硫氧化。与 BZ、DY 和 WF 相比,JN 中 NO 和 SO 的二次转化更为强烈。光梯度提升模型(Light-gradient boosting model)优于随机森林(Random Forest)和极端梯度提升(Extreme-gradient boosting)模型,平均 R 值达到 0.92。BZ、DY 和 WF 的 PM 污染事件主要归因于生物质燃烧,而济南的污染则是由 NO 的二次形成和车辆排放造成的。机器学习和 SHAP 可解释归因技术可对空气污染原因进行精确分析,具有解决环境问题的巨大潜力。