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经济增长压力对碳排放强度的复杂影响:来自中国城市数据的经验证据。

The complex impacts of economic growth pressure on carbon emission intensity: an empirical evidence from city data in China.

机构信息

School of Economics, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610065, China.

College of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu, 611130, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Oct;30(50):109135-109144. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-30040-7. Epub 2023 Sep 28.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-023-30040-7
PMID:37770733
Abstract

Excessive carbon emissions are the major challenge to global sustainable development. In the context of the coronavirus pandemic, pressure on global economic growth is gradually rising, threatening established carbon reduction targets. However, the relationship between economic growth pressures and carbon emission intensity has yet to be clearly discussed. Thus, this study quantitatively discusses the impacts of economic growth pressures from central (EGPN) and provincial (EGPP) governments on city carbon intensity. The study is based on data from China's city panels from 2005 to 2019. This study finds that (1) there is a U-shaped correlation between economic growth pressure and a city's carbon emission intensity, whether the economic growth pressure comes from the central government or the provincial government; (2) carbon emission intensity is more sensitive to economic growth pressure from the provincial government than it is to economic growth pressure from the central government. The findings of this study will help enhance the understanding of the relationship between economic growth pressure and carbon emission intensity, and can also provide a reference for global sustainable development that balances economic growth and environmental protection.

摘要

碳排放过量是全球可持续发展的主要挑战。在新冠疫情背景下,全球经济增长压力逐渐上升,威胁既定的碳减排目标。然而,经济增长压力与碳排放强度之间的关系尚未得到明确讨论。因此,本研究定量探讨了中央(EGPN)和省级(EGPP)政府的经济增长压力对城市碳强度的影响。本研究基于中国城市面板数据,时间跨度为 2005 年至 2019 年。研究发现:(1)无论经济增长压力来自中央政府还是省级政府,经济增长压力与城市碳排放强度之间都存在 U 型关系;(2)与中央政府的经济增长压力相比,省级政府的经济增长压力对碳排放强度更为敏感。本研究的结果将有助于加深对经济增长压力与碳排放强度之间关系的理解,同时也为平衡经济增长与环境保护的全球可持续发展提供参考。

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