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碳排放和生态税收如何影响股票市场表现:来自 28 个经合组织经济体的经验证据。

How do carbon emissions and eco taxation affect the equity market performance: an empirical evidence from 28 OECD economies.

机构信息

Sukkur IBA University, Sukkur, Sindh, Pakistan.

Department of Business Administration, Sukkur IBA University, Sukkur, Pakistan.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Jul;31(34):46312-46324. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-29882-y. Epub 2023 Sep 30.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-023-29882-y
PMID:37776428
Abstract

This study examines the nexus between "stock returns," carbon emissions, and "environmental tax" in 28 OECD countries for the period 1994 to 2014. To this end, we employ second-generation econometric techniques that are robust to macroeconomic and financial datasets to eliminate the issues associated with heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence. The "common correlated effects mean group (CCEMG)" and "augmented mean group (AMG)" estimators are a pioneering attempt to explore the association between the cross sections. These approaches take into account the complexities of real-world data and provide a more accurate understanding of the relationship between the variables. Several studies explored the relationship between CO emissions and economic growth. However, the literature lacks studies examining the impact of "environmental tax" implementation on "stock returns," which is a central policy instrument to curb emissions. The results demonstrate a significant and negative relationship between CO emissions and "stock market index returns" and a positive and significant relationship between "environmental tax" and "stock market index returns." Furthermore, both these relationships prevail in the world's biggest financial markets and second largest CO emitters, the USA. The empirical findings offer various useful implications for investors, policymakers, brokers, corporations, governmental pollution abatement institutions, and other stakeholders who wish to obtain a carbon risk premium.

摘要

本研究考察了 1994 年至 2014 年间 28 个经合组织国家“股票回报”、碳排放和“环境税”之间的关系。为此,我们采用了第二代计量经济学技术,这些技术对宏观经济和金融数据集具有稳健性,可以消除异质性和横截面相关性带来的问题。“共同相关效应均值组(CCEMG)”和“扩充均值组(AMG)”估计器是探索横截面之间关联的开创性尝试。这些方法考虑到了实际数据的复杂性,提供了对变量之间关系的更准确理解。有几项研究探讨了 CO 排放与经济增长之间的关系。然而,文献中缺乏研究环境税实施对股票回报的影响的研究,而环境税是遏制排放的核心政策工具。研究结果表明,CO 排放与“股票市场指数回报率”之间存在显著负相关关系,“环境税”与“股票市场指数回报率”之间存在显著正相关关系。此外,这两个关系在世界上最大的金融市场和第二大 CO 排放国美国都存在。实证结果为投资者、政策制定者、经纪人、公司、政府污染减排机构和其他希望获得碳风险溢价的利益相关者提供了各种有用的启示。

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