Department of Public Finance, Faculty of Economics, Istanbul University, Beyazıt, Istanbul, Turkey.
Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Istanbul University, Beyazıt, Istanbul, Turkey.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Jul;28(26):35094-35101. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-12907-9. Epub 2021 Mar 4.
Excise taxes on fuel consumption may serve an important role in the abatement of CO2 emissions. Fuel tax has been a significant revenue-raising tool in Turkey for years. The present paper investigates whether there is a relationship between carbon dioxide emissions and public revenues from excise taxes on fuel consumption in Turkey by employing an asymmetric nonlinear cointegration test and error correction model that is a novel methodology proposed by Hepsag Commun Stat-Simul Comp 50:400-412, (2021). We collect our sample that consists of annual data on CO2 emissions, GDP, and fuel tax in Turkey from 1985 to 2018. The empirical findings display that there exist relationships among economic growth, CO2 emissions, and fuel tax supporting the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis in the short and long run. However, we find out that fuel tax is statistically insignificant and has no impact on CO2 emissions. Because a significant carbon dioxide reduction is not possible by fuel taxation, by converting the excise tax on fuel consumption into a carbon tax, a considerable emission reduction can be provided efficiently.
消费税对燃料消耗的影响可能在减少二氧化碳排放方面发挥重要作用。多年来，燃油税一直是土耳其重要的增收工具。本文通过采用一种非对称非线性协整检验和误差修正模型（这是 Hepsag Commun Stat-Simul Comp 50:400-412, (2021) 提出的新方法），研究了二氧化碳排放与土耳其燃料消费消费税之间的关系。我们的样本包括土耳其从 1985 年到 2018 年的二氧化碳排放、国内生产总值和燃料税的年度数据。实证结果表明，在短期和长期内，经济增长、二氧化碳排放和燃料税之间存在关系，支持环境库兹涅茨曲线（EKC）假说。然而，我们发现燃料税在统计上并不显著，对二氧化碳排放没有影响。由于通过燃料税来显著减少二氧化碳排放是不可能的，因此通过将燃料消费税转换为碳税，可以有效地实现大量减排。
