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20-24 孕周超声宫颈长度筛查在双胎妊娠预测自发性早产中的应用:一项长达 10 年的台湾队列研究。

Ultrasonographic cervical length screening at 20-24 weeks of gestation in twin pregnancies for prediction of spontaneous preterm birth: A 10-year Taiwanese cohort.

机构信息

Department of Medical Research, Taiji Clinic, Taipei, Taiwan.

Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Taipei Tzu Chi Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2023 Oct 5;18(10):e0292533. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0292533. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Shortened cervical length is one of the primary predictors for spontaneous preterm deliveries in twin pregnancies. However, there is lack of consensus regarding cut-off values. Recent evidence highlights that established cut-offs for cervical length screening might not always apply across different populations. This study aims to present the distribution of cervical length in Taiwanese twin pregnancies and to assess its predictive value for spontaneous preterm birth during mid-trimester screening.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective analysis of cervical length screening in Taiwan evaluated 469 twin pregnancies between 20-24 weeks of gestation. Outcome data were obtained directly from the medical records of the delivery hospital. The study explored the predictive value of cervical length screening for spontaneous preterm birth and the characteristics of cervical length distribution in Taiwanese twin pregnancies.

RESULTS

The average gestational age at screening was 22.7 weeks. Cervical length values displayed a non-normal distribution (p-value <0.001). The median, 5th and 95th centiles were 37.5 mm 25.1 mm, and 47.9 mm, respectively. Various cut-off values were assessed using different methods, yielding positive [negative] likelihood ratios for spontaneous preterm births between 32-37 weeks of gestational age (GA) (1.3-30.1 and [0.51-0.92]) and for very preterm births between 28-32 weeks GA (5.6-51.1 and [0.45-0.64]).

CONCLUSIONS

The findings from our analysis of Taiwanese twin pregnancies uphold the moderate predictive potential of cervical length screening, consistent with prior investigations. The presented likelihood ratios for predicting preterm birth at different gestational ages equip clinicians with valuable tools to enhance their diagnostic rationale and resource utilization. By fine-tuning screening parameters according to the spontaneous preterm birth prevalence and clinical priorities of the particular population, healthcare providers can enhance patient care. Our data implies that a cervical length below 20 mm might provide an optimal balance between minimizing false negatives and managing false positives when predicting spontaneous preterm birth.

摘要

背景

缩短的宫颈长度是双胎妊娠自发性早产的主要预测因素之一。然而,对于截断值尚未达成共识。最近的证据表明,既定的宫颈长度筛查截断值并不总是适用于不同人群。本研究旨在展示台湾双胎妊娠的宫颈长度分布,并评估其在中期筛查中预测自发性早产的价值。

材料和方法

本研究回顾性分析了台湾的宫颈长度筛查,共纳入了 469 例 20-24 周妊娠的双胎妊娠。结局数据直接从分娩医院的病历中获得。本研究探讨了宫颈长度筛查对自发性早产的预测价值,以及台湾双胎妊娠宫颈长度分布的特点。

结果

筛查时的平均孕龄为 22.7 周。宫颈长度值呈非正态分布(p 值<0.001)。中位数、第 5 百分位数和第 95 百分位数分别为 37.5mm、25.1mm 和 47.9mm。使用不同方法评估了各种截断值,得出 32-37 孕周(GA)自发性早产的阳性[阴性]似然比为 1.3-30.1 和[0.51-0.92],28-32 孕周 GA 的极早产的阳性[阴性]似然比为 5.6-51.1 和[0.45-0.64]。

结论

本研究对台湾双胎妊娠的分析结果支持宫颈长度筛查具有中等预测潜力,与之前的研究一致。本研究提出的不同孕龄预测早产的似然比为临床医生提供了有价值的工具,以增强其诊断原理和资源利用。根据特定人群的自发性早产发生率和临床重点,调整筛查参数,可以改善患者的护理。我们的数据表明,当预测自发性早产时,宫颈长度低于 20mm 可能在最小化假阴性和管理假阳性之间取得最佳平衡。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f245/10553282/93680ef93162/pone.0292533.g001.jpg

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