Fikadu Tsion, Damene Shimeles, Teklu Abyiot
Center for Environment and Development Studies, College of Development Studies, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Center for Rural Development Studies, College of Development Studies, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Integr Environ Assess Manag. 2024 May;20(3):794-804. doi: 10.1002/ieam.4854. Epub 2023 Nov 17.
Climate information service (CIS) is a key component of a climate adaptation strategy that is expected to lessen climate risk. Access to and use of CIS among the local community are limited and constrained by various factors and are not supported by empirical research evidence. Therefore, this article analyzed CIS access and use determinants among smallholder farmers in Bereh woreda. The study applied a cross-sectional design with a mixed methodological approach. Data were collected through a survey of 219 smallholder farmer households, three focused-group discussions, and six key informant interviews. The collected survey data were analyzed using the heckprobit model to determine factors influencing smallholder farmers' access to and use of CIS. The heckprobit model results revealed that the determinants of CIS access and use had a statistical significance of log-likelihood of 1% (Wald χ = 45.2, p = 0.001), indicating a strong explanatory power. The selection model revealed that age and off-farm income significantly reduced the likelihood of accessing CIS, whereas mobile-phone ownership and male-headed households increased the likelihood of accessing it. Age, female-headed households, and farm size decreased the likelihood of using CIS, whereas mixed farming, radio ownership, and access to herbicide enhanced the likelihood of using it. This study, therefore, recommends intensive awareness creation and improving the delivery of diverse and reliable CIS to enhance agricultural productivity and smallholder farmers' resilience to the impacts of climate change. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2024;20:794-804. © 2023 SETAC.
气候信息服务（CIS）是气候适应战略的关键组成部分，有望降低气候风险。当地社区对气候信息服务的获取和使用受到各种因素的限制，且缺乏实证研究证据的支持。因此，本文分析了贝雷霍尔达县小农户获取和使用气候信息服务的决定因素。该研究采用了混合方法的横断面设计。通过对219户小农户家庭进行调查、开展三场焦点小组讨论以及进行六次关键 informant 访谈来收集数据。使用heckprobit模型对收集到的调查数据进行分析，以确定影响小农户获取和使用气候信息服务的因素。heckprobit模型结果显示，气候信息服务获取和使用的决定因素在对数似然比为1%时具有统计学意义（Wald χ = 45.2，p = 0.001），表明具有很强的解释力。选择模型显示，年龄和非农收入显著降低了获取气候信息服务的可能性，而拥有手机和户主为男性则增加了获取的可能性。年龄、户主为女性以及农场规模降低了使用气候信息服务的可能性，而混合种植、拥有收音机和获得除草剂则增加了使用的可能性。因此，本研究建议加强宣传并改善多样化和可靠的气候信息服务的提供，以提高农业生产力和小农户应对气候变化影响的复原力。《综合环境评估与管理》2024年；20：794 - 804。© 2023 SETAC。
