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埃塞俄比亚提格雷东部民族州小农户采用气候变化适应策略的决定因素

Determinants of smallholder farmers' adoption of adaptation strategies to climate change in Eastern Tigray National Regional State of Ethiopia.

作者信息

Gebru Gebrehiwot Weldegebrial, Ichoku Hyacinth Ementa, Phil-Eze Philip Ogbonnia

机构信息

Department of Rural Development and Agricultural Extension, Mekelle University, Ethiopia.

Department of Economics, University of Nigeria, Nsukka, Nigeria.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2020 Jul 24;6(7):e04356. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2020.e04356. eCollection 2020 Jul.

Abstract

Climate change has been significantly affecting smallholder farmer's livelihood and food security. However, efforts to support farmer adaptation are hampered by the lack of scientific and context based evidences. Hence, this paper identified the major adaptation strategies to climate change (CC) and analysed the determinants of adoption of adaptation strategies to climate change in Eastern Tigray Region of Ethiopia. Three-stage sampling technique was used to select the study sites and sample households. Copies of 485 questionnaires were administered and complemented with data from focus group discussion and key informant interviews. Results of the descriptive analysis identified that use of soil and water conservation practices, planting trees, improved crop seeds, irrigation and use of non-farm income generating activities are the most utilized adaptation strategies to climate change. Results of the multinomial logistic regression (MNL) revealed that households' adaptation to climate change was found positively and significantly affected by education, livestock holding, cooperatives membership, extension services, farmers income and households perception to climate change. On the contrary, age of the household head, distance to market and agro-ecology were found negatively and statistically affecting smallholder farmers adoption of adaptation strategies to climate change. Thus, public policy on climate change adaptation need to take into account local people's resource base and their lifelong outlooks so as to reduce the potential drawbacks of climate change on farmers' livelihood.

摘要

气候变化一直在显著影响小农户的生计和粮食安全。然而,由于缺乏基于科学和具体情况的证据,支持农民适应气候变化的努力受到了阻碍。因此,本文确定了应对气候变化的主要适应策略,并分析了埃塞俄比亚提格雷东部地区采用气候变化适应策略的决定因素。采用三阶段抽样技术来选择研究地点和样本农户。发放了485份问卷,并辅以焦点小组讨论和关键信息人访谈的数据。描述性分析结果表明,采用土壤和水资源保护措施、植树、使用改良作物种子、灌溉以及开展非农业创收活动是最常用的应对气候变化的适应策略。多项逻辑回归(MNL)结果显示,教育程度、牲畜存栏量、合作社成员身份、推广服务、农民收入以及农户对气候变化的认知对农户适应气候变化有积极且显著的影响。相反,户主年龄、与市场的距离以及农业生态对小农户采用气候变化适应策略有负面且显著的影响。因此,关于气候变化适应的公共政策需要考虑当地人民的资源基础及其长远前景,以减少气候变化对农民生计的潜在不利影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5846/7385453/25cd416510ab/gr1.jpg

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