Tiwari Smrati, Ingle Nikhil, Goyal Aman
Internal Medicine, Seth Gordhandas Sunderdas Medical College and King Edward Memorial Hospital, Mumbai, IND.
Cureus. 2023 Sep 22;15(9):e45771. doi: 10.7759/cureus.45771. eCollection 2023 Sep.
Introduction Acute encephalitis syndrome (AES) is a significant global public health concern. AES is a disorder characterized by fever and altered mental status, and it is associated with considerable morbidity and mortality. There is a limited amount of existing literature on the clinical profile and prognostic markers that influence mortality in these patients. Our study seeks to comprehend the etiology, clinical characteristics, complications, and prognostic markers that impact mortality among patients with AES. Methods The study was a prospective observational study conducted over 18 months, involving a sample size of 105 patients. Patients aged 12 years and older, who met the WHO case definition of Acute Encephalitis Syndrome (AES), were consecutively recruited for this study. The patients' details were recorded, including their medical history and physical and clinical examination findings upon admission. The extent of cognitive impairment was evaluated using the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS). Additionally, the patient's presenting symptoms, any complications experienced during their hospital stay, and the mortality rate were documented. The etiology, MRI results of the brain, laboratory parameters, and the need for assisted ventilation were also recorded. In-hospital characteristics were analyzed using the t-test for continuous variables and the chi-square test for binary variables. The log-rank test was employed to identify the predictors with the most significant independent influence on prognosis. All participants were selected only after obtaining their written informed consent. Results Most of the patients were in the age group of 21-30. 60% of the patients were male. Advanced age at presentation was associated with an increased risk of mortality (p-value=0.018). All patients presented to the hospital with symptoms of fever and altered sensorium. The most common agent isolated as the etiologic cause was , found in 31.4% of the patients. 28.6% of the patients succumbed to death. The leading cause of death was raised intracranial pressure leading to hemorrhage in the brain. There was no significant correlation between the duration of symptoms and the primary outcome of death (p-value=0.498). The requirement for assisted ventilation was shown to increase the risk of death (p-value=0.001). A low GCS score at presentation was associated with a higher mortality rate (p-value=0.048). Conclusions The factors that predict mortality in AES involve a complex interplay of patient demographics, viral etiology, clinical severity, neuroimaging findings, and the need for assisted ventilation. Integrating these factors into clinical practice would enable healthcare providers to make informed decisions regarding patient management and interventions. As our comprehension of AES continues to develop, forthcoming advancements in diagnostics and therapeutics could refine prognostic assessments further. These developments could open new avenues for enhancing outcomes and diminishing mortality rates in this complex neurological disorder.
引言
急性脑炎综合征(AES)是一个重大的全球公共卫生问题。AES是一种以发热和精神状态改变为特征的疾病,与相当高的发病率和死亡率相关。关于影响这些患者死亡率的临床特征和预后标志物的现有文献数量有限。我们的研究旨在了解影响AES患者死亡率的病因、临床特征、并发症和预后标志物。
方法
该研究是一项为期18个月的前瞻性观察性研究,样本量为105名患者。年龄在12岁及以上、符合世界卫生组织急性脑炎综合征(AES)病例定义的患者被连续纳入本研究。记录了患者的详细信息,包括他们的病史以及入院时的体格和临床检查结果。使用格拉斯哥昏迷量表(GCS)评估认知障碍的程度。此外,记录了患者的首发症状、住院期间经历的任何并发症以及死亡率。还记录了病因、脑部MRI结果、实验室参数以及辅助通气的需求。对于连续变量,使用t检验分析住院特征;对于二元变量,使用卡方检验。采用对数秩检验来确定对预后有最显著独立影响的预测因素。所有参与者均在获得其书面知情同意后才被选中。
结果
大多数患者年龄在21 - 30岁之间。60%的患者为男性。就诊时年龄较大与死亡风险增加相关(p值 = 0.018)。所有患者入院时均有发热和意识改变的症状。作为病因分离出的最常见病原体在31.4%的患者中被发现。28.6%的患者死亡。主要死亡原因是颅内压升高导致脑出血。症状持续时间与主要死亡结局之间无显著相关性(p值 = 0.498)。辅助通气的需求显示会增加死亡风险(p值 = 0.001)。就诊时GCS评分低与较高的死亡率相关(p值 = 0.048)。
结论
预测AES患者死亡率的因素涉及患者人口统计学、病毒病因、临床严重程度、神经影像学表现以及辅助通气需求等复杂的相互作用。将这些因素整合到临床实践中,将使医疗保健提供者能够就患者管理和干预做出明智的决策。随着我们对AES的理解不断发展,未来诊断和治疗方面的进展可能会进一步完善预后评估。这些发展可能为改善这种复杂神经系统疾病的结局和降低死亡率开辟新途径。