Schulte P A, Ehrenberg R L, Singal M
Am J Public Health. 1987 Jan;77(1):52-6. doi: 10.2105/ajph.77.1.52.
Local and federal government agencies are often asked to investigate apparent clusters of cancer in communities or workplaces. Often these investigations cannot utilize the methods that have been developed for evaluation of disease clusters because the clusters are too small, and the populations to be studied and the periods of time to be covered are determined in an a posteriori manner. Still, government investigators are called upon to render an official opinion of the apparent clusters. Application of a theoretical approach to cluster analysis must give way to a more pragmatic approach. A review of 61 investigations of apparent clusters conducted by the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) during the period 1978-84 showed that most of the clusters contained five or fewer cases and had no plausible occupational etiology. Despite the few clusters that were identified, these investigations generally provided a service to workers and employers who were concerned about occupational cancer.
地方和联邦政府机构经常被要求调查社区或工作场所中明显的癌症聚集现象。通常,这些调查无法采用为评估疾病聚集而开发的方法,因为聚集规模太小,而且要研究的人群和覆盖的时间段是事后确定的。尽管如此,政府调查人员仍被要求对明显的聚集现象给出官方意见。聚类分析的理论方法应用必须让位于更务实的方法。对美国国家职业安全与健康研究所(NIOSH)在1978年至1984年期间对61起明显聚集现象的调查进行的回顾显示,大多数聚集现象包含5例或更少病例,且没有合理的职业病因。尽管识别出的聚集现象很少,但这些调查总体上为关注职业性癌症的工人和雇主提供了服务。