Doll R, Morgan L G, Speizer F E
Br J Cancer. 1970 Dec;24(4):623-32. doi: 10.1038/bjc.1970.76.
Men employed in a nickel refinery in South Wales were investigated to determine whether the specific risks of developing carcinoma of the bronchi and nasal sinuses, which had been associated with the refining of nickel, are still present. The data obtained were also used to compare the effect of age at exposure on susceptibility to cancer induction and to determine the rate of change of mortality after exposure to a carcinogenic agent had ceased.Eight hundred and forty five men were studied who had been employed in the industry for at least 5 years and whose first employment was in or before April 1994. All but 27 (3.2 per cent) were traced until death or January 1, 1967.Altogether 482 of the men had died: 113 from lung cancer and 39 from nasal cancer. In men employed before 1925, deaths from lung cancer varied from about 5 to 10 times the numbers that would have been expected from the corresponding national mortality rates, while the deaths from nasal cancer varied from about 100 to 900 times the expected numbers. Among men first employed in 1925 or after there were 8 deaths from lung cancer against 6.2 expected and no deaths from nasal cancer. The death rate from causes other than cancer was similar to that experienced by men in the same geographical area irrespective of their date of first employment.Susceptibility to the induction of nasal cancer increased with age at first exposure, but susceptibility to the induction of lung cancer varied irregularly. The trends in susceptibility showed some similarity to the trends in the national mortality among men employed at similar ages. It is suggested that susceptibility to cancer induction is determined by the amount of previous exposure to other agents.The risk of developing nasal cancer persisted with little change 15 to 42 years after the carcinogen was eliminated whereas the risk of developing lung cancer decreased. If the effects of cigarette smoking and the specific occupational hazard interact, the reduction in the risk of lung cancer could be due to the differential elimination of heavy cigarette smokers.
对在南威尔士一家镍精炼厂工作的男性进行了调查,以确定与镍精炼相关的患支气管癌和鼻窦癌的特定风险是否仍然存在。所获得的数据还用于比较接触年龄对致癌易感性的影响,并确定接触致癌剂停止后死亡率的变化率。对845名男性进行了研究,他们在该行业工作至少5年,首次就业时间在1994年4月或之前。除27人(3.2%)外,其余所有人都被追踪到死亡或1967年1月1日。总共有482名男性死亡:113人死于肺癌,39人死于鼻癌。在1925年之前就业的男性中,肺癌死亡人数比相应的全国死亡率预期人数高出约5至10倍,而鼻癌死亡人数比预期人数高出约100至900倍。在1925年或之后首次就业的男性中,有8人死于肺癌,预期为6.2人,无人死于鼻癌。非癌症原因的死亡率与同一地理区域的男性相似,与他们的首次就业日期无关。首次接触时,患鼻癌的易感性随年龄增加而增加,但患肺癌的易感性变化不规则。易感性趋势与相似年龄就业男性的全国死亡率趋势有一些相似之处。有人认为,致癌易感性取决于先前接触其他物质的量。致癌物质消除后15至42年,患鼻癌的风险几乎没有变化,而患肺癌的风险则有所下降。如果吸烟的影响与特定的职业危害相互作用,肺癌风险的降低可能是由于大量吸烟者的差异消除。